PAGASA's extended outlook for Metro Manila on August 13 points to a 25–32°C range under active southwest monsoon conditions, with 60–100% rain probability, anchoring trader consensus around 30–31°C as the most likely daily maximum. Persistent cloud cover and moisture from the monsoon typically suppress peak solar heating and promote afternoon showers that limit surface warming, consistent with climatological August averages near 31°C at Ninoy Aquino International Airport. Recent model runs show modest variability in timing and intensity of convective activity, which could allow brief clear periods to push the high slightly higher or cap it lower depending on exact rainfall onset. This forecast uncertainty, combined with historical day-to-day fluctuations of 1–2°C during the wet season, explains the close spread between the top two outcomes and the lower probabilities assigned to extremes.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Manila on August 13?
Highest temperature in Manila on August 13?
30°C 41%
31°C 34%
29°C 11%
28°C 5%
BARU
BARU
Aug 13, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
5%
29°C
11%
30°C
41%
31°C
34%
32°C
5%
33°C
2%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 41%
31°C 34%
29°C 11%
28°C 5%
BARU
BARU
Aug 13, 2026
25°C or below
$198 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$264 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$226 Vol.
1%
28°C
$354 Vol.
5%
29°C
$1,099 Vol.
11%
30°C
$680 Vol.
41%
31°C
$843 Vol.
34%
32°C
$507 Vol.
5%
33°C
$754 Vol.
2%
34°C
$288 Vol.
1%
35°C or higher
$291 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.PAGASA's extended outlook for Metro Manila on August 13 points to a 25–32°C range under active southwest monsoon conditions, with 60–100% rain probability, anchoring trader consensus around 30–31°C as the most likely daily maximum. Persistent cloud cover and moisture from the monsoon typically suppress peak solar heating and promote afternoon showers that limit surface warming, consistent with climatological August averages near 31°C at Ninoy Aquino International Airport. Recent model runs show modest variability in timing and intensity of convective activity, which could allow brief clear periods to push the high slightly higher or cap it lower depending on exact rainfall onset. This forecast uncertainty, combined with historical day-to-day fluctuations of 1–2°C during the wet season, explains the close spread between the top two outcomes and the lower probabilities assigned to extremes.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$5,505Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 13, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.PAGASA's extended outlook for Metro Manila on August 13 points to a 25–32°C range under active southwest monsoon conditions, with 60–100% rain probability, anchoring trader consensus around 30–31°C as the most likely daily maximum. Persistent cloud cover and moisture from the monsoon typically suppress peak solar heating and promote afternoon showers that limit surface warming, consistent with climatological August averages near 31°C at Ninoy Aquino International Airport. Recent model runs show modest variability in timing and intensity of convective activity, which could allow brief clear periods to push the high slightly higher or cap it lower depending on exact rainfall onset. This forecast uncertainty, combined with historical day-to-day fluctuations of 1–2°C during the wet season, explains the close spread between the top two outcomes and the lower probabilities assigned to extremes.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,505Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 13, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...PAGASA's extended outlook for Metro Manila on August 13 points to a 25–32°C range under active southwest monsoon conditions, with 60–100% rain probability, anchoring trader consensus around 30–31°C as the most likely daily maximum. Persistent cloud cover and moisture from the monsoon typically suppress peak solar heating and promote afternoon showers that limit surface warming, consistent with climatological August averages near 31°C at Ninoy Aquino International Airport. Recent model runs show modest variability in timing and intensity of convective activity, which could allow brief clear periods to push the high slightly higher or cap it lower depending on exact rainfall onset. This forecast uncertainty, combined with historical day-to-day fluctuations of 1–2°C during the wet season, explains the close spread between the top two outcomes and the lower probabilities assigned to extremes.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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