Persistent monsoon activity over northern India, including a trough and associated low-pressure systems, is the main driver keeping overnight minimum temperatures in Lucknow elevated through radiative trapping by thick cloud cover and high humidity on August 23. Official forecasts from agencies indicate lows clustered near 26–28°C amid widespread showers and limited diurnal cooling, consistent with historical August norms around 25–27°C and recent observations of minima near 25–27°C under similar conditions. Model consensus shows modest uncertainty in exact overnight clearing or rainfall intensity, which differentiates the closely matched market-implied probabilities around 26–28°C while making sub-24°C or 29°C+ outcomes far less likely without major forecast shifts.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Lucknow on August 23?
Lowest temperature in Lucknow on August 23?
27°C 37%
26°C 24%
28°C 20%
25°C 18%
BARU
BARU
Aug 23, 2026
21°C or below
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
7%
24°C
15%
25°C
18%
26°C
24%
27°C
34%
28°C
20%
29°C
8%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
1%
27°C 37%
26°C 24%
28°C 20%
25°C 18%
BARU
BARU
Aug 23, 2026
21°C or below
$66 Vol.
1%
22°C
$20 Vol.
1%
23°C
$20 Vol.
7%
24°C
$0 Vol.
15%
25°C
$0 Vol.
18%
26°C
$0 Vol.
24%
27°C
$5 Vol.
34%
28°C
$0 Vol.
20%
29°C
$27 Vol.
8%
30°C
$5 Vol.
1%
31°C or higher
$44 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent monsoon activity over northern India, including a trough and associated low-pressure systems, is the main driver keeping overnight minimum temperatures in Lucknow elevated through radiative trapping by thick cloud cover and high humidity on August 23. Official forecasts from agencies indicate lows clustered near 26–28°C amid widespread showers and limited diurnal cooling, consistent with historical August norms around 25–27°C and recent observations of minima near 25–27°C under similar conditions. Model consensus shows modest uncertainty in exact overnight clearing or rainfall intensity, which differentiates the closely matched market-implied probabilities around 26–28°C while making sub-24°C or 29°C+ outcomes far less likely without major forecast shifts.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$186Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 23, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent monsoon activity over northern India, including a trough and associated low-pressure systems, is the main driver keeping overnight minimum temperatures in Lucknow elevated through radiative trapping by thick cloud cover and high humidity on August 23. Official forecasts from agencies indicate lows clustered near 26–28°C amid widespread showers and limited diurnal cooling, consistent with historical August norms around 25–27°C and recent observations of minima near 25–27°C under similar conditions. Model consensus shows modest uncertainty in exact overnight clearing or rainfall intensity, which differentiates the closely matched market-implied probabilities around 26–28°C while making sub-24°C or 29°C+ outcomes far less likely without major forecast shifts.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$186Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 23, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent monsoon activity over northern India, including a trough and associated low-pressure systems, is the main driver keeping overnight minimum temperatures in Lucknow elevated through radiative trapping by thick cloud cover and high humidity on August 23. Official forecasts from agencies indicate lows clustered near 26–28°C amid widespread showers and limited diurnal cooling, consistent with historical August norms around 25–27°C and recent observations of minima near 25–27°C under similar conditions. Model consensus shows modest uncertainty in exact overnight clearing or rainfall intensity, which differentiates the closely matched market-implied probabilities around 26–28°C while making sub-24°C or 29°C+ outcomes far less likely without major forecast shifts.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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