Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Moscow's overnight low on August 26 will likely fall in the 11–13°C range under mostly overcast skies with light drizzle and moderate winds, limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and keeping the minimum near climatological norms for late August. Trader consensus clusters around 12°C as the modal outcome because ensemble guidance shows consistent boundary-layer temperatures without strong high-pressure clearing that could drive sharper drops toward single-digit values. Historical data place average late-summer lows near 12–13°C, with deviations mainly tied to cloud cover and advection patterns rather than extreme anomalies this close to resolution. Updated model runs tonight will refine the exact minimum before official observations finalize the market.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Moscow on August 26?
12°C 50%
15°C 35.8%
11°C 30%
10°C 27%
7°C or below
1%
8°C
1%
9°C
26%
10°C
27%
11°C
30%
12°C
50%
13°C
27%
14°C
26%
15°C
36%
16°C
1%
17°C or higher
1%
12°C 50%
15°C 35.8%
11°C 30%
10°C 27%
7°C or below
1%
8°C
1%
9°C
26%
10°C
27%
11°C
30%
12°C
50%
13°C
27%
14°C
26%
15°C
36%
16°C
1%
17°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 24, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Moscow's overnight low on August 26 will likely fall in the 11–13°C range under mostly overcast skies with light drizzle and moderate winds, limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and keeping the minimum near climatological norms for late August. Trader consensus clusters around 12°C as the modal outcome because ensemble guidance shows consistent boundary-layer temperatures without strong high-pressure clearing that could drive sharper drops toward single-digit values. Historical data place average late-summer lows near 12–13°C, with deviations mainly tied to cloud cover and advection patterns rather than extreme anomalies this close to resolution. Updated model runs tonight will refine the exact minimum before official observations finalize the market.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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