Recent forecasts from the Met Office and BBC indicate Munich's overnight low on August 21 will likely range from 11–14°C under mostly cloudy skies with light showers and southwesterly winds, aligning with seasonal August averages of 11–13°C. Model consensus points to modest cooling from recent days without extreme radiative loss, keeping sub-10°C readings unlikely absent clear skies or stronger high pressure. Trader positioning favoring 9°C or below at 45% implied probability reflects bets on forecast revisions or localized urban measurement effects, while clustered support around 11–14°C at 27–29% captures the central range of official guidance. Upcoming hourly observations from German weather services will refine resolution as the night progresses.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Munich on August 21?
9°C or below 46%
13°C 28%
11°C 27%
12°C 27%
9°C or below
46%
10°C
20%
11°C
27%
12°C
27%
13°C
28%
14°C
29%
15°C
27%
16°C
25%
17°C
22%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
9°C or below 46%
13°C 28%
11°C 27%
12°C 27%
9°C or below
46%
10°C
20%
11°C
27%
12°C
27%
13°C
28%
14°C
29%
15°C
27%
16°C
25%
17°C
22%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 20, 2026, 1:28 PM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Met Office and BBC indicate Munich's overnight low on August 21 will likely range from 11–14°C under mostly cloudy skies with light showers and southwesterly winds, aligning with seasonal August averages of 11–13°C. Model consensus points to modest cooling from recent days without extreme radiative loss, keeping sub-10°C readings unlikely absent clear skies or stronger high pressure. Trader positioning favoring 9°C or below at 45% implied probability reflects bets on forecast revisions or localized urban measurement effects, while clustered support around 11–14°C at 27–29% captures the central range of official guidance. Upcoming hourly observations from German weather services will refine resolution as the night progresses.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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