Current forecast models from the National Weather Service and private sources indicate a warm, humid air mass will keep overnight lows in the low-to-mid 70s for New York City on August 12, with the minimum temperature expected between roughly 72–75 °F. Persistent southerly flow and elevated dew points have limited radiational cooling, while the absence of a strong cold front or clear-sky conditions has prevented deeper drops. This aligns with the market’s heaviest trading on the 72–75 °F brackets, reflecting trader consensus around ensemble guidance that shows only modest day-to-day variability. Updated model runs and official National Weather Service briefings tonight will provide the final observational data used for resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in NYC on August 12?
Lowest temperature in NYC on August 12?
74-75°F 43%
72-73°F 32%
70-71°F 12%
76-77°F 9%
BARU
BARU
Aug 12, 2026
63°F or below
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
3%
68-69°F
4%
70-71°F
12%
72-73°F
32%
74-75°F
43%
76-77°F
9%
78-79°F
2%
80-81°F
<1%
82°F or higher
<1%
74-75°F 43%
72-73°F 32%
70-71°F 12%
76-77°F 9%
BARU
BARU
Aug 12, 2026
63°F or below
$373 Vol.
<1%
64-65°F
$22 Vol.
<1%
66-67°F
$74 Vol.
3%
68-69°F
$84 Vol.
4%
70-71°F
$70 Vol.
12%
72-73°F
$492 Vol.
32%
74-75°F
$558 Vol.
43%
76-77°F
$14 Vol.
9%
78-79°F
$644 Vol.
2%
80-81°F
$999 Vol.
<1%
82°F or higher
$273 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from the National Weather Service and private sources indicate a warm, humid air mass will keep overnight lows in the low-to-mid 70s for New York City on August 12, with the minimum temperature expected between roughly 72–75 °F. Persistent southerly flow and elevated dew points have limited radiational cooling, while the absence of a strong cold front or clear-sky conditions has prevented deeper drops. This aligns with the market’s heaviest trading on the 72–75 °F brackets, reflecting trader consensus around ensemble guidance that shows only modest day-to-day variability. Updated model runs and official National Weather Service briefings tonight will provide the final observational data used for resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 10, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Volume
$3,603Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 12, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 10, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from the National Weather Service and private sources indicate a warm, humid air mass will keep overnight lows in the low-to-mid 70s for New York City on August 12, with the minimum temperature expected between roughly 72–75 °F. Persistent southerly flow and elevated dew points have limited radiational cooling, while the absence of a strong cold front or clear-sky conditions has prevented deeper drops. This aligns with the market’s heaviest trading on the 72–75 °F brackets, reflecting trader consensus around ensemble guidance that shows only modest day-to-day variability. Updated model runs and official National Weather Service briefings tonight will provide the final observational data used for resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,603Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 12, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 10, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from the National Weather Service and private sources indicate a warm, humid air mass will keep overnight lows in the low-to-mid 70s for New York City on August 12, with the minimum temperature expected between roughly 72–75 °F. Persistent southerly flow and elevated dew points have limited radiational cooling, while the absence of a strong cold front or clear-sky conditions has prevented deeper drops. This aligns with the market’s heaviest trading on the 72–75 °F brackets, reflecting trader consensus around ensemble guidance that shows only modest day-to-day variability. Updated model runs and official National Weather Service briefings tonight will provide the final observational data used for resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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