Recent forecasts from meteorological models show Qingdao's overnight minimum stabilizing near 19°C under overcast skies and light southwesterly winds, supporting the market's near-even split between 19°C and 18°C outcomes. Qingdao's coastal peninsula location typically moderates diurnal ranges through marine influence and higher humidity, limiting radiative cooling compared to inland Shandong sites. With no strong cold fronts or clear-sky conditions expected overnight, temperatures are unlikely to drop sharply below 18°C, though localized variations at official stations could tip the recorded low. Traders appear to weigh ensemble model consensus and historical September averages around 19–20°C against residual forecast uncertainty before final observations.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Qingdao on September 13?
Lowest temperature in Qingdao on September 13?
16°C or below 90%
17°C 90%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$700 Vol.
$700 Vol.
Sep 13, 2026
16°C or below
90%
17°C
90%
18°C
47%
19°C
-
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
16°C or below 90%
17°C 90%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$700 Vol.
$700 Vol.
Sep 13, 2026
16°C or below
$0 Vol.
90%
17°C
$0 Vol.
90%
18°C
$26 Vol.
47%
19°C
$13 Vol.
-
20°C
$139 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$15 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$303 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$159 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$15 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$15 Vol.
<1%
26°C or higher
$15 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological models show Qingdao's overnight minimum stabilizing near 19°C under overcast skies and light southwesterly winds, supporting the market's near-even split between 19°C and 18°C outcomes. Qingdao's coastal peninsula location typically moderates diurnal ranges through marine influence and higher humidity, limiting radiative cooling compared to inland Shandong sites. With no strong cold fronts or clear-sky conditions expected overnight, temperatures are unlikely to drop sharply below 18°C, though localized variations at official stations could tip the recorded low. Traders appear to weigh ensemble model consensus and historical September averages around 19–20°C against residual forecast uncertainty before final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 11, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$700Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 13, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 11, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological models show Qingdao's overnight minimum stabilizing near 19°C under overcast skies and light southwesterly winds, supporting the market's near-even split between 19°C and 18°C outcomes. Qingdao's coastal peninsula location typically moderates diurnal ranges through marine influence and higher humidity, limiting radiative cooling compared to inland Shandong sites. With no strong cold fronts or clear-sky conditions expected overnight, temperatures are unlikely to drop sharply below 18°C, though localized variations at official stations could tip the recorded low. Traders appear to weigh ensemble model consensus and historical September averages around 19–20°C against residual forecast uncertainty before final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$700Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 13, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 11, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from meteorological models show Qingdao's overnight minimum stabilizing near 19°C under overcast skies and light southwesterly winds, supporting the market's near-even split between 19°C and 18°C outcomes. Qingdao's coastal peninsula location typically moderates diurnal ranges through marine influence and higher humidity, limiting radiative cooling compared to inland Shandong sites. With no strong cold fronts or clear-sky conditions expected overnight, temperatures are unlikely to drop sharply below 18°C, though localized variations at official stations could tip the recorded low. Traders appear to weigh ensemble model consensus and historical September averages around 19–20°C against residual forecast uncertainty before final observations.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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