**Trader consensus strongly favors a 25°C minimum at the Incheon International Airport station on August 25, 2026, reflecting real-time observational data and model consensus from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA).** Current short-range KMA forecasts for the date show overnight lows of 24–26°C under mostly cloudy conditions that limit radiational cooling, consistent with recent station readings in the Seoul-Incheon area where August minima have clustered near 23–26°C amid typical late-summer humidity and weak pressure gradients. This positions 25°C as the resolution threshold most aligned with both official guidance and historical climatology for the period. The market-implied odds near 99% capture the narrow uncertainty range typical of short-term temperature forecasts, where model runs converge tightly and little time remains for major deviations before the daily minimum is recorded. Realistically, only a sharp, unforecasted clearing of skies combined with calm winds or a late shift in steering flow could push the low below 24°C; conversely, persistent cloud cover or slightly warmer advection would keep it from rising above the band. Updated KMA briefings and Incheon station hourly data through the early morning hours remain the key inputs traders monitor for any final adjustments.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 25?
Lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 25?
25°C 99%
22°C <1%
21°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
BARU
$12,116 Vol.
BARU
$12,116 Vol.
Aug 25, 2026
21°C or below
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
99%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
25°C 99%
22°C <1%
21°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
BARU
$12,116 Vol.
BARU
$12,116 Vol.
Aug 25, 2026
21°C or below
$965 Vol.
1%
22°C
$778 Vol.
1%
23°C
$862 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$800 Vol.
1%
25°C
$2,311 Vol.
99%
26°C
$2,581 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$2,262 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$317 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$796 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$246 Vol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$198 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors a 25°C minimum at the Incheon International Airport station on August 25, 2026, reflecting real-time observational data and model consensus from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA).**
Current short-range KMA forecasts for the date show overnight lows of 24–26°C under mostly cloudy conditions that limit radiational cooling, consistent with recent station readings in the Seoul-Incheon area where August minima have clustered near 23–26°C amid typical late-summer humidity and weak pressure gradients. This positions 25°C as the resolution threshold most aligned with both official guidance and historical climatology for the period. The market-implied odds near 99% capture the narrow uncertainty range typical of short-term temperature forecasts, where model runs converge tightly and little time remains for major deviations before the daily minimum is recorded.
Realistically, only a sharp, unforecasted clearing of skies combined with calm winds or a late shift in steering flow could push the low below 24°C; conversely, persistent cloud cover or slightly warmer advection would keep it from rising above the band. Updated KMA briefings and Incheon station hourly data through the early morning hours remain the key inputs traders monitor for any final adjustments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$12,116Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 25, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors a 25°C minimum at the Incheon International Airport station on August 25, 2026, reflecting real-time observational data and model consensus from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA).**
Current short-range KMA forecasts for the date show overnight lows of 24–26°C under mostly cloudy conditions that limit radiational cooling, consistent with recent station readings in the Seoul-Incheon area where August minima have clustered near 23–26°C amid typical late-summer humidity and weak pressure gradients. This positions 25°C as the resolution threshold most aligned with both official guidance and historical climatology for the period. The market-implied odds near 99% capture the narrow uncertainty range typical of short-term temperature forecasts, where model runs converge tightly and little time remains for major deviations before the daily minimum is recorded.
Realistically, only a sharp, unforecasted clearing of skies combined with calm winds or a late shift in steering flow could push the low below 24°C; conversely, persistent cloud cover or slightly warmer advection would keep it from rising above the band. Updated KMA briefings and Incheon station hourly data through the early morning hours remain the key inputs traders monitor for any final adjustments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$12,116Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 25, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus strongly favors a 25°C minimum at the Incheon International Airport station on August 25, 2026, reflecting real-time observational data and model consensus from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA).** Current short-range KMA forecasts for the date show overnight lows of 24–26°C under mostly cloudy conditions that limit radiational cooling, consistent with recent station readings in the Seoul-Incheon area where August minima have clustered near 23–26°C amid typical late-summer humidity and weak pressure gradients. This positions 25°C as the resolution threshold most aligned with both official guidance and historical climatology for the period. The market-implied odds near 99% capture the narrow uncertainty range typical of short-term temperature forecasts, where model runs converge tightly and little time remains for major deviations before the daily minimum is recorded. Realistically, only a sharp, unforecasted clearing of skies combined with calm winds or a late shift in steering flow could push the low below 24°C; conversely, persistent cloud cover or slightly warmer advection would keep it from rising above the band. Updated KMA briefings and Incheon station hourly data through the early morning hours remain the key inputs traders monitor for any final adjustments.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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