Recent forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate Shenzhen's minimum temperature on August 23 will likely fall between 25–28°C, driven by persistent showers, high humidity, and extensive cloud cover that limit both daytime heating and nocturnal radiative cooling in this subtropical monsoon climate. These conditions, typical for late August in the Pearl River Delta, keep overnight lows near the long-term average of 26°C while introducing short-term variability from weak tropical moisture flows. Trader consensus reflects model spread on exact rainfall timing and wind patterns that could shift the low by 1–2°C, with fresh ensemble updates expected in the next 24–48 hours to refine outcomes ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Shenzhen on August 23?
27°C 23%
26°C 22%
28°C 19%
29°C 18%
22°C or below
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
4%
25°C
15%
26°C
22%
27°C
23%
28°C
19%
29°C
18%
30°C
2%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
1%
27°C 23%
26°C 22%
28°C 19%
29°C 18%
22°C or below
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
4%
25°C
15%
26°C
22%
27°C
23%
28°C
19%
29°C
18%
30°C
2%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate Shenzhen's minimum temperature on August 23 will likely fall between 25–28°C, driven by persistent showers, high humidity, and extensive cloud cover that limit both daytime heating and nocturnal radiative cooling in this subtropical monsoon climate. These conditions, typical for late August in the Pearl River Delta, keep overnight lows near the long-term average of 26°C while introducing short-term variability from weak tropical moisture flows. Trader consensus reflects model spread on exact rainfall timing and wind patterns that could shift the low by 1–2°C, with fresh ensemble updates expected in the next 24–48 hours to refine outcomes ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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