Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers across Tokyo on August 28, 2026, have limited overnight radiative cooling, supporting minimum temperatures near 24–26°C according to Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and multiple model runs. High humidity levels near 70–90% combined with light variable winds have further reduced the diurnal temperature range, while the urban heat island effect sustains elevated nighttime readings relative to rural areas. Official forecasts consistently project lows around 24–26°C, aligning with the market-implied probabilities favoring 26°C and 25°C outcomes amid typical late-August conditions that rarely dip below 23°C under similar synoptic patterns. Updated model consensus and real-time observations will refine these thresholds before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Tokyo on August 28?
22°C or below 3%
24°C 2%
23°C 1%
27°C <1%
22°C or below
3%
23°C
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
31%
26°C
54%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
22°C or below 3%
24°C 2%
23°C 1%
27°C <1%
22°C or below
3%
23°C
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
31%
26°C
54%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers across Tokyo on August 28, 2026, have limited overnight radiative cooling, supporting minimum temperatures near 24–26°C according to Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and multiple model runs. High humidity levels near 70–90% combined with light variable winds have further reduced the diurnal temperature range, while the urban heat island effect sustains elevated nighttime readings relative to rural areas. Official forecasts consistently project lows around 24–26°C, aligning with the market-implied probabilities favoring 26°C and 25°C outcomes amid typical late-August conditions that rarely dip below 23°C under similar synoptic patterns. Updated model consensus and real-time observations will refine these thresholds before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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