Recent forecast model runs from sources including ECMWF and GFS indicate a northwest flow advecting cooler maritime air into central Poland, with showers expected overnight into September 22. This pattern supports overnight minimum temperatures near 9–11°C in Warsaw, consistent with ensemble guidance showing a tight cluster around that range amid 70–90% cloud cover and light-to-moderate winds. Historical September climatology places typical lows near 10°C, providing context for the current setup. Market-implied odds reflect uncertainty in exact minimum timing and any localized radiational cooling under clearing skies, with new model updates and observational data from the next 24 hours likely to refine the distribution between the closely matched leading outcomes.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Warsaw on September 22?
Lowest temperature in Warsaw on September 22?
4°C or below 93%
14°C or higher 91%
9°C 40%
10°C 39%
BARU
BARU
Sep 22, 2026
4°C or below
93%
5°C
9%
6°C
9%
7°C
33%
8°C
27%
9°C
40%
10°C
39%
11°C
18%
12°C
39%
13°C
16%
14°C or higher
91%
4°C or below 93%
14°C or higher 91%
9°C 40%
10°C 39%
BARU
BARU
Sep 22, 2026
4°C or below
$0 Vol.
93%
5°C
$0 Vol.
9%
6°C
$0 Vol.
9%
7°C
$0 Vol.
33%
8°C
$0 Vol.
27%
9°C
$18 Vol.
40%
10°C
$0 Vol.
39%
11°C
$0 Vol.
18%
12°C
$0 Vol.
39%
13°C
$0 Vol.
16%
14°C or higher
$0 Vol.
91%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from sources including ECMWF and GFS indicate a northwest flow advecting cooler maritime air into central Poland, with showers expected overnight into September 22. This pattern supports overnight minimum temperatures near 9–11°C in Warsaw, consistent with ensemble guidance showing a tight cluster around that range amid 70–90% cloud cover and light-to-moderate winds. Historical September climatology places typical lows near 10°C, providing context for the current setup. Market-implied odds reflect uncertainty in exact minimum timing and any localized radiational cooling under clearing skies, with new model updates and observational data from the next 24 hours likely to refine the distribution between the closely matched leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 20, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$18Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 22, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 20, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from sources including ECMWF and GFS indicate a northwest flow advecting cooler maritime air into central Poland, with showers expected overnight into September 22. This pattern supports overnight minimum temperatures near 9–11°C in Warsaw, consistent with ensemble guidance showing a tight cluster around that range amid 70–90% cloud cover and light-to-moderate winds. Historical September climatology places typical lows near 10°C, providing context for the current setup. Market-implied odds reflect uncertainty in exact minimum timing and any localized radiational cooling under clearing skies, with new model updates and observational data from the next 24 hours likely to refine the distribution between the closely matched leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$18Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 22, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 20, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model runs from sources including ECMWF and GFS indicate a northwest flow advecting cooler maritime air into central Poland, with showers expected overnight into September 22. This pattern supports overnight minimum temperatures near 9–11°C in Warsaw, consistent with ensemble guidance showing a tight cluster around that range amid 70–90% cloud cover and light-to-moderate winds. Historical September climatology places typical lows near 10°C, providing context for the current setup. Market-implied odds reflect uncertainty in exact minimum timing and any localized radiational cooling under clearing skies, with new model updates and observational data from the next 24 hours likely to refine the distribution between the closely matched leading outcomes.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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