Recent official forecasts and ensemble model consensus from sources including the China Meteorological Administration point to a high of 27–29°C in Qingdao on September 21 under mostly cloudy to clearing skies with light northerly winds. These conditions favor the market's leading outcomes at 28°C (36.5%) and 29°C (27.0%), as daytime heating remains moderate amid autumn transition and coastal moderation from the Yellow Sea. Lower probabilities for 27°C or 30°C reflect minor spreads in model guidance on cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing, while extremes below 26°C or above 30°C align with historical rarity for the date. Updated high-resolution runs and morning surface observations will refine the final maximum before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Qingdao on September 21?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on September 21?
28°C 36%
29°C 29%
27°C 21%
30°C 13%
BARU
$14,777 Vol.
BARU
$14,777 Vol.
Sep 21, 2026
25°C or below
1%
26°C
6%
27°C
21%
28°C
36%
29°C
29%
30°C
13%
31°C
3%
32°C
1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
28°C 36%
29°C 29%
27°C 21%
30°C 13%
BARU
$14,777 Vol.
BARU
$14,777 Vol.
Sep 21, 2026
25°C or below
$185 Vol.
1%
26°C
$1,639 Vol.
6%
27°C
$5,789 Vol.
21%
28°C
$2,621 Vol.
36%
29°C
$2,278 Vol.
29%
30°C
$1,227 Vol.
13%
31°C
$421 Vol.
3%
32°C
$354 Vol.
1%
33°C
$196 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$31 Vol.
<1%
35°C or higher
$37 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts and ensemble model consensus from sources including the China Meteorological Administration point to a high of 27–29°C in Qingdao on September 21 under mostly cloudy to clearing skies with light northerly winds. These conditions favor the market's leading outcomes at 28°C (36.5%) and 29°C (27.0%), as daytime heating remains moderate amid autumn transition and coastal moderation from the Yellow Sea. Lower probabilities for 27°C or 30°C reflect minor spreads in model guidance on cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing, while extremes below 26°C or above 30°C align with historical rarity for the date. Updated high-resolution runs and morning surface observations will refine the final maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 19, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
Volume
$14,777Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 21, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 19, 2026, 12:59 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts and ensemble model consensus from sources including the China Meteorological Administration point to a high of 27–29°C in Qingdao on September 21 under mostly cloudy to clearing skies with light northerly winds. These conditions favor the market's leading outcomes at 28°C (36.5%) and 29°C (27.0%), as daytime heating remains moderate amid autumn transition and coastal moderation from the Yellow Sea. Lower probabilities for 27°C or 30°C reflect minor spreads in model guidance on cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing, while extremes below 26°C or above 30°C align with historical rarity for the date. Updated high-resolution runs and morning surface observations will refine the final maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$14,777Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 21, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 19, 2026, 12:59 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts and ensemble model consensus from sources including the China Meteorological Administration point to a high of 27–29°C in Qingdao on September 21 under mostly cloudy to clearing skies with light northerly winds. These conditions favor the market's leading outcomes at 28°C (36.5%) and 29°C (27.0%), as daytime heating remains moderate amid autumn transition and coastal moderation from the Yellow Sea. Lower probabilities for 27°C or 30°C reflect minor spreads in model guidance on cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing, while extremes below 26°C or above 30°C align with historical rarity for the date. Updated high-resolution runs and morning surface observations will refine the final maximum before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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