Incumbent Democrat Jake Auchincloss holds a commanding position in Massachusetts's 4th congressional district, where the seat has consistently delivered large Democratic margins in recent cycles. The district's voter composition favors Democratic candidates, and Cook Political Report and other analyses classify the race as solid Democratic ahead of the November 2026 general election. Auchincloss faces only limited primary opposition on September 1 from Jason Poulos, with recent polling showing him far ahead, while Republican nominees have historically struggled to exceed low double digits. Trader consensus at 96% Democratic reflects this structural advantage and the absence of competitive challengers or notable shifts in voter sentiment. A major scandal, significant health event, or unexpected national Republican wave could theoretically narrow the gap, though such developments remain uncommon in this district.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiMA-04 House Election Winner
MA-04 House Election Winner
$46,864 Vol.
$46,864 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
96%
Republican Party
2%
$46,864 Vol.
$46,864 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$23,264 Vol.
96%
Republican Party
$23,600 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Jake Auchincloss holds a commanding position in Massachusetts's 4th congressional district, where the seat has consistently delivered large Democratic margins in recent cycles. The district's voter composition favors Democratic candidates, and Cook Political Report and other analyses classify the race as solid Democratic ahead of the November 2026 general election. Auchincloss faces only limited primary opposition on September 1 from Jason Poulos, with recent polling showing him far ahead, while Republican nominees have historically struggled to exceed low double digits. Trader consensus at 96% Democratic reflects this structural advantage and the absence of competitive challengers or notable shifts in voter sentiment. A major scandal, significant health event, or unexpected national Republican wave could theoretically narrow the gap, though such developments remain uncommon in this district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$46,864Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Jake Auchincloss holds a commanding position in Massachusetts's 4th congressional district, where the seat has consistently delivered large Democratic margins in recent cycles. The district's voter composition favors Democratic candidates, and Cook Political Report and other analyses classify the race as solid Democratic ahead of the November 2026 general election. Auchincloss faces only limited primary opposition on September 1 from Jason Poulos, with recent polling showing him far ahead, while Republican nominees have historically struggled to exceed low double digits. Trader consensus at 96% Democratic reflects this structural advantage and the absence of competitive challengers or notable shifts in voter sentiment. A major scandal, significant health event, or unexpected national Republican wave could theoretically narrow the gap, though such developments remain uncommon in this district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$46,864Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Jake Auchincloss holds a commanding position in Massachusetts's 4th congressional district, where the seat has consistently delivered large Democratic margins in recent cycles. The district's voter composition favors Democratic candidates, and Cook Political Report and other analyses classify the race as solid Democratic ahead of the November 2026 general election. Auchincloss faces only limited primary opposition on September 1 from Jason Poulos, with recent polling showing him far ahead, while Republican nominees have historically struggled to exceed low double digits. Trader consensus at 96% Democratic reflects this structural advantage and the absence of competitive challengers or notable shifts in voter sentiment. A major scandal, significant health event, or unexpected national Republican wave could theoretically narrow the gap, though such developments remain uncommon in this district.
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