Persistent energy price pressures from the Middle East conflict continue to drive trader sentiment toward higher May 2026 headline CPI readings, with market-implied odds clustering tightly around 4.2–4.4 percent. April’s 3.8 percent year-over-year print, exceeding consensus by 0.1 percentage point amid a 17.9 percent surge in the energy index, established a high base that is expected to carry forward through gasoline and related components. Core services remain a key swing factor, as any broadening of the supply shock could lift the overall rate above 4.3 percent, while moderation in shelter or used-vehicle prices could anchor it near 4.2 percent. The closely matched probabilities between the 4.3 percent and ≥4.4 percent outcomes reflect uncertainty over the pace of pass-through ahead of the June 10 release.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui≥4.4% 36%
4.3% 35%
4.2% 25%
4.1% 7%
$31,585 Vol.
$31,585 Vol.
Jun 10, 2026
≤3.3%
<1%
3.4%
<1%
3.5%
<1%
3.6%
<1%
3.7%
1%
3.8%
1%
3.9%
<1%
4.0%
1%
4.1%
7%
4.2%
25%
4.3%
35%
≥4.4%
36%
≥4.4% 36%
4.3% 35%
4.2% 25%
4.1% 7%
$31,585 Vol.
$31,585 Vol.
Jun 10, 2026
≤3.3%
$1,154 Vol.
<1%
3.4%
$893 Vol.
<1%
3.5%
$1,396 Vol.
<1%
3.6%
$1,171 Vol.
<1%
3.7%
$1,125 Vol.
1%
3.8%
$1,561 Vol.
1%
3.9%
$1,036 Vol.
<1%
4.0%
$1,238 Vol.
1%
4.1%
$2,317 Vol.
7%
4.2%
$6,312 Vol.
25%
4.3%
$8,725 Vol.
35%
≥4.4%
$4,687 Vol.
36%
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending May 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Persistent energy price pressures from the Middle East conflict continue to drive trader sentiment toward higher May 2026 headline CPI readings, with market-implied odds clustering tightly around 4.2–4.4 percent. April’s 3.8 percent year-over-year print, exceeding consensus by 0.1 percentage point amid a 17.9 percent surge in the energy index, established a high base that is expected to carry forward through gasoline and related components. Core services remain a key swing factor, as any broadening of the supply shock could lift the overall rate above 4.3 percent, while moderation in shelter or used-vehicle prices could anchor it near 4.2 percent. The closely matched probabilities between the 4.3 percent and ≥4.4 percent outcomes reflect uncertainty over the pace of pass-through ahead of the June 10 release.
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending May 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Pasar Dibuka: May 12, 2026, 3:41 PM ET
Volume
$31,585Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 10, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 12, 2026, 3:41 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending May 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Persistent energy price pressures from the Middle East conflict continue to drive trader sentiment toward higher May 2026 headline CPI readings, with market-implied odds clustering tightly around 4.2–4.4 percent. April’s 3.8 percent year-over-year print, exceeding consensus by 0.1 percentage point amid a 17.9 percent surge in the energy index, established a high base that is expected to carry forward through gasoline and related components. Core services remain a key swing factor, as any broadening of the supply shock could lift the overall rate above 4.3 percent, while moderation in shelter or used-vehicle prices could anchor it near 4.2 percent. The closely matched probabilities between the 4.3 percent and ≥4.4 percent outcomes reflect uncertainty over the pace of pass-through ahead of the June 10 release.
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending May 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Volume
$31,585Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 10, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 12, 2026, 3:41 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent energy price pressures from the Middle East conflict continue to drive trader sentiment toward higher May 2026 headline CPI readings, with market-implied odds clustering tightly around 4.2–4.4 percent. April’s 3.8 percent year-over-year print, exceeding consensus by 0.1 percentage point amid a 17.9 percent surge in the energy index, established a high base that is expected to carry forward through gasoline and related components. Core services remain a key swing factor, as any broadening of the supply shock could lift the overall rate above 4.3 percent, while moderation in shelter or used-vehicle prices could anchor it near 4.2 percent. The closely matched probabilities between the 4.3 percent and ≥4.4 percent outcomes reflect uncertainty over the pace of pass-through ahead of the June 10 release.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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