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Pemilihan Umum·Pemilu AS

Pemenang Utama Senat Demokrat Michigan

icon for Pemenang Utama Senat Demokrat Michigan
Pemilihan Umum·Pemilu AS

Pemenang Utama Senat Demokrat Michigan

Abdul El-Sayed 56%

Mallory McMorrow 28%

Haley Stevens 12.8%

Dana Nessel <1%

Polymarket

$553,893 Vol.

Abdul El-Sayed 56%

Mallory McMorrow 28%

Haley Stevens 12.8%

Dana Nessel <1%

Polymarket

$553,893 Vol.

Abdul El-Sayed

$107,219 Vol.

56%

Mallory McMorrow

$42,444 Vol.

28%

Haley Stevens

$34,358 Vol.

13%

Dana Nessel

$41,027 Vol.

<1%

Rashida Tlaib

$43,100 Vol.

<1%

Sarah Anthony

$30,624 Vol.

<1%

Kristen McDonald Rivet

$125,802 Vol.

<1%

Andy Levin

$27,611 Vol.

<1%

Matt Sahr

$101,707 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Michigan. If no 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Michigan Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Recent polling has positioned Abdul El-Sayed as the clear frontrunner in Michigan’s August 4 Democratic Senate primary for the open seat created by incumbent Gary Peters’ retirement, with trader consensus reflecting his gains in surveys released in early May. El-Sayed has built momentum through strong small-dollar fundraising and generational appeal among younger voters, pulling ahead of state Senator Mallory McMorrow and U.S. Representative Haley Stevens in head-to-head matchups. McMorrow maintains solid grassroots support and cash reserves but trails in recent ballot tests, while Stevens faces questions over slower fundraising and limited recent polling gains. The three-way contest remains fluid with undecided voters still comprising a sizable share, though El-Sayed’s upward trajectory in May surveys has driven the widest implied probability margin among active candidates.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Michigan.

If no 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Michigan Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$553,893
Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 4, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Sep 15, 2025, 3:36 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Michigan. If no 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Michigan Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Michigan. If no 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Michigan Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Recent polling has positioned Abdul El-Sayed as the clear frontrunner in Michigan’s August 4 Democratic Senate primary for the open seat created by incumbent Gary Peters’ retirement, with trader consensus reflecting his gains in surveys released in early May. El-Sayed has built momentum through strong small-dollar fundraising and generational appeal among younger voters, pulling ahead of state Senator Mallory McMorrow and U.S. Representative Haley Stevens in head-to-head matchups. McMorrow maintains solid grassroots support and cash reserves but trails in recent ballot tests, while Stevens faces questions over slower fundraising and limited recent polling gains. The three-way contest remains fluid with undecided voters still comprising a sizable share, though El-Sayed’s upward trajectory in May surveys has driven the widest implied probability margin among active candidates.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Michigan.

If no 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Michigan Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$553,893
Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 4, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Sep 15, 2025, 3:36 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Michigan. If no 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Michigan Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Pemenang Utama Senat Demokrat Michigan" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 9 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Abdul El-Sayed" di 56%, diikuti oleh "Mallory McMorrow" di 28%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 56¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 56% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Pemenang Utama Senat Demokrat Michigan" telah menghasilkan $553.9K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Sep 15, 2025. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Pemenang Utama Senat Demokrat Michigan," jelajahi 9 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Pemenang Utama Senat Demokrat Michigan" adalah "Abdul El-Sayed" di 56%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 56% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Mallory McMorrow" di 28%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Pemenang Utama Senat Demokrat Michigan" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.