As of mid-May 2026, the National Hurricane Center's daily tropical weather outlooks show no organized disturbances or favorable atmospheric conditions for tropical cyclone development in the Atlantic basin over the next seven days. This aligns with climatological patterns, where the first named storm typically forms around June 20, well after the official June 1 season start. Emerging El Niño conditions are expected to further suppress early-season activity by increasing wind shear and stabilizing the atmosphere. With zero systems recorded so far and NOAA's seasonal outlook scheduled for release on May 21, traders see limited pathways for a pre-season named storm, reinforcing the strong market consensus against formation before June 1.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiNamed storm forms before hurricane season?
Named storm forms before hurricane season?
$341,219 Vol.
$341,219 Vol.
May 31, 2026
$341,219 Vol.
$341,219 Vol.
May 31, 2026
The 2026 Atlantic hurricane season will take place over a period lasting from June 1 to November 30.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if NOAA names a storm in the Atlantic between December 4, 2025, and May 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA’s list of named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/) and/or their data on individual storms.
If there is a potential named storm that has not yet been classified by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market may remain open until June 1, 12:00 PM ET to determine if a classification was made prior to midnight.As of mid-May 2026, the National Hurricane Center's daily tropical weather outlooks show no organized disturbances or favorable atmospheric conditions for tropical cyclone development in the Atlantic basin over the next seven days. This aligns with climatological patterns, where the first named storm typically forms around June 20, well after the official June 1 season start. Emerging El Niño conditions are expected to further suppress early-season activity by increasing wind shear and stabilizing the atmosphere. With zero systems recorded so far and NOAA's seasonal outlook scheduled for release on May 21, traders see limited pathways for a pre-season named storm, reinforcing the strong market consensus against formation before June 1.
The 2026 Atlantic hurricane season will take place over a period lasting from June 1 to November 30.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if NOAA names a storm in the Atlantic between December 4, 2025, and May 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA’s list of named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/) and/or their data on individual storms.
If there is a potential named storm that has not yet been classified by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market may remain open until June 1, 12:00 PM ET to determine if a classification was made prior to midnight.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if NOAA names a storm in the Atlantic between December 4, 2025, and May 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA’s list of named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/) and/or their data on individual storms.
If there is a potential named storm that has not yet been classified by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market may remain open until June 1, 12:00 PM ET to determine if a classification was made prior to midnight.
Pasar Dibuka: Dec 4, 2025, 3:12 PM ET
Volume
$341,219Tanggal Berakhir
May 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Dec 4, 2025, 3:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The 2026 Atlantic hurricane season will take place over a period lasting from June 1 to November 30.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if NOAA names a storm in the Atlantic between December 4, 2025, and May 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA’s list of named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/) and/or their data on individual storms.
If there is a potential named storm that has not yet been classified by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market may remain open until June 1, 12:00 PM ET to determine if a classification was made prior to midnight.As of mid-May 2026, the National Hurricane Center's daily tropical weather outlooks show no organized disturbances or favorable atmospheric conditions for tropical cyclone development in the Atlantic basin over the next seven days. This aligns with climatological patterns, where the first named storm typically forms around June 20, well after the official June 1 season start. Emerging El Niño conditions are expected to further suppress early-season activity by increasing wind shear and stabilizing the atmosphere. With zero systems recorded so far and NOAA's seasonal outlook scheduled for release on May 21, traders see limited pathways for a pre-season named storm, reinforcing the strong market consensus against formation before June 1.
The 2026 Atlantic hurricane season will take place over a period lasting from June 1 to November 30.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if NOAA names a storm in the Atlantic between December 4, 2025, and May 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA’s list of named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/) and/or their data on individual storms.
If there is a potential named storm that has not yet been classified by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market may remain open until June 1, 12:00 PM ET to determine if a classification was made prior to midnight.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if NOAA names a storm in the Atlantic between December 4, 2025, and May 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA’s list of named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/) and/or their data on individual storms.
If there is a potential named storm that has not yet been classified by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market may remain open until June 1, 12:00 PM ET to determine if a classification was made prior to midnight.
Volume
$341,219Tanggal Berakhir
May 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Dec 4, 2025, 3:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...As of mid-May 2026, the National Hurricane Center's daily tropical weather outlooks show no organized disturbances or favorable atmospheric conditions for tropical cyclone development in the Atlantic basin over the next seven days. This aligns with climatological patterns, where the first named storm typically forms around June 20, well after the official June 1 season start. Emerging El Niño conditions are expected to further suppress early-season activity by increasing wind shear and stabilizing the atmosphere. With zero systems recorded so far and NOAA's seasonal outlook scheduled for release on May 21, traders see limited pathways for a pre-season named storm, reinforcing the strong market consensus against formation before June 1.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan