Google's next flagship Gemini Pro model, widely expected to be the 3.5 Pro iteration announced at I/O in May 2026, remains unreleased as of mid-August despite an original "next month" target. Delays stem from internal performance shortfalls, with the model now in partner testing and described as "coming soon" while lighter 3.5/3.6/3.7 Flash variants shipped in July and August. Traders view the closely watched release as a key signal of DeepMind's ability to match OpenAI and Anthropic pace, with historical quarterly patterns and ongoing Gemini 4 training adding uncertainty around exact timing and feature thresholds that could trigger market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui$1,062,858 Vol.
Aug 21, 2026
August 14
1%
August 21
4%
August 31
23%
$1,062,858 Vol.
August 14
$245,975 Vol.
1%
August 21
$115,982 Vol.
4%
August 31
$265,338 Vol.
23%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google's next flagship Gemini Pro model, widely expected to be the 3.5 Pro iteration announced at I/O in May 2026, remains unreleased as of mid-August despite an original "next month" target. Delays stem from internal performance shortfalls, with the model now in partner testing and described as "coming soon" while lighter 3.5/3.6/3.7 Flash variants shipped in July and August. Traders view the closely watched release as a key signal of DeepMind's ability to match OpenAI and Anthropic pace, with historical quarterly patterns and ongoing Gemini 4 training adding uncertainty around exact timing and feature thresholds that could trigger market resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 29, 2026, 1:07 PM ET
Volume
$1,062,858Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 29, 2026, 1:07 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google's next flagship Gemini Pro model, widely expected to be the 3.5 Pro iteration announced at I/O in May 2026, remains unreleased as of mid-August despite an original "next month" target. Delays stem from internal performance shortfalls, with the model now in partner testing and described as "coming soon" while lighter 3.5/3.6/3.7 Flash variants shipped in July and August. Traders view the closely watched release as a key signal of DeepMind's ability to match OpenAI and Anthropic pace, with historical quarterly patterns and ongoing Gemini 4 training adding uncertainty around exact timing and feature thresholds that could trigger market resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1,062,858Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 29, 2026, 1:07 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Google's next flagship Gemini Pro model, widely expected to be the 3.5 Pro iteration announced at I/O in May 2026, remains unreleased as of mid-August despite an original "next month" target. Delays stem from internal performance shortfalls, with the model now in partner testing and described as "coming soon" while lighter 3.5/3.6/3.7 Flash variants shipped in July and August. Traders view the closely watched release as a key signal of DeepMind's ability to match OpenAI and Anthropic pace, with historical quarterly patterns and ongoing Gemini 4 training adding uncertainty around exact timing and feature thresholds that could trigger market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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