Z.ai (formerly Zhipu AI) has followed a consistent cadence of incremental GLM-5 series releases focused on agentic coding and long-horizon tasks, with GLM-5 launching in February 2026, GLM-5.1 in April, and GLM-5.2 in June featuring a 1M-token context window and stronger SWE-Bench Pro and Terminal-Bench performance. Recent leaks and analyst notes point to a potential GLM-5.5 successor targeted for August 2026 that could skip 5.3 and 5.4 entirely, emphasizing further scaling in parameters and agentic capabilities under the same open-weight MIT-license approach. Traders are weighting Z.ai’s own development pipeline most heavily because the company controls the model line, API rollout on z.ai, and Hugging Face releases, though competitive pressure from models like Claude Opus variants and internal compute constraints could still shift timelines. Key near-term catalysts include any official blog post, API update, or benchmark disclosure confirming the next version.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiBARU
Sep 30, 2026
September 30
38%
October 31
86%
$3,463 Vol.
September 30
$576 Vol.
38%
October 31
$2,888 Vol.
86%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Z.ai's next GLM model (5.4+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying model must be part of Z.ai's core GLM series, have a name or model identifier that includes "GLM," and be designated as a version greater than 5.3, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version greater than 5.3 named in the same manner as GLM-5.2 or GLM-5.3 would qualify, including versions that skip numbers, such as GLM-5.5 or GLM-6, while models with a version designation of 5.3 or below, or derivative models not positioned as the next flagship GLM release, such as GLM-5.3-Turbo, will not qualify. Staged rollouts of a model already publicly accessible before market creation, such as the open-weight or API release of GLM-5.3, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Z.ai as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Z.ai, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Z.ai (formerly Zhipu AI) has followed a consistent cadence of incremental GLM-5 series releases focused on agentic coding and long-horizon tasks, with GLM-5 launching in February 2026, GLM-5.1 in April, and GLM-5.2 in June featuring a 1M-token context window and stronger SWE-Bench Pro and Terminal-Bench performance. Recent leaks and analyst notes point to a potential GLM-5.5 successor targeted for August 2026 that could skip 5.3 and 5.4 entirely, emphasizing further scaling in parameters and agentic capabilities under the same open-weight MIT-license approach. Traders are weighting Z.ai’s own development pipeline most heavily because the company controls the model line, API rollout on z.ai, and Hugging Face releases, though competitive pressure from models like Claude Opus variants and internal compute constraints could still shift timelines. Key near-term catalysts include any official blog post, API update, or benchmark disclosure confirming the next version.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Z.ai's next GLM model (5.4+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying model must be part of Z.ai's core GLM series, have a name or model identifier that includes "GLM," and be designated as a version greater than 5.3, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version greater than 5.3 named in the same manner as GLM-5.2 or GLM-5.3 would qualify, including versions that skip numbers, such as GLM-5.5 or GLM-6, while models with a version designation of 5.3 or below, or derivative models not positioned as the next flagship GLM release, such as GLM-5.3-Turbo, will not qualify. Staged rollouts of a model already publicly accessible before market creation, such as the open-weight or API release of GLM-5.3, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Z.ai as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Z.ai, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying model must be part of Z.ai's core GLM series, have a name or model identifier that includes "GLM," and be designated as a version greater than 5.3, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version greater than 5.3 named in the same manner as GLM-5.2 or GLM-5.3 would qualify, including versions that skip numbers, such as GLM-5.5 or GLM-6, while models with a version designation of 5.3 or below, or derivative models not positioned as the next flagship GLM release, such as GLM-5.3-Turbo, will not qualify. Staged rollouts of a model already publicly accessible before market creation, such as the open-weight or API release of GLM-5.3, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Z.ai as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Z.ai, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 14, 2026, 5:49 PM ET
Volume
$3,463Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 14, 2026, 5:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Z.ai's next GLM model (5.4+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying model must be part of Z.ai's core GLM series, have a name or model identifier that includes "GLM," and be designated as a version greater than 5.3, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version greater than 5.3 named in the same manner as GLM-5.2 or GLM-5.3 would qualify, including versions that skip numbers, such as GLM-5.5 or GLM-6, while models with a version designation of 5.3 or below, or derivative models not positioned as the next flagship GLM release, such as GLM-5.3-Turbo, will not qualify. Staged rollouts of a model already publicly accessible before market creation, such as the open-weight or API release of GLM-5.3, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Z.ai as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Z.ai, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Z.ai (formerly Zhipu AI) has followed a consistent cadence of incremental GLM-5 series releases focused on agentic coding and long-horizon tasks, with GLM-5 launching in February 2026, GLM-5.1 in April, and GLM-5.2 in June featuring a 1M-token context window and stronger SWE-Bench Pro and Terminal-Bench performance. Recent leaks and analyst notes point to a potential GLM-5.5 successor targeted for August 2026 that could skip 5.3 and 5.4 entirely, emphasizing further scaling in parameters and agentic capabilities under the same open-weight MIT-license approach. Traders are weighting Z.ai’s own development pipeline most heavily because the company controls the model line, API rollout on z.ai, and Hugging Face releases, though competitive pressure from models like Claude Opus variants and internal compute constraints could still shift timelines. Key near-term catalysts include any official blog post, API update, or benchmark disclosure confirming the next version.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Z.ai's next GLM model (5.4+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying model must be part of Z.ai's core GLM series, have a name or model identifier that includes "GLM," and be designated as a version greater than 5.3, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version greater than 5.3 named in the same manner as GLM-5.2 or GLM-5.3 would qualify, including versions that skip numbers, such as GLM-5.5 or GLM-6, while models with a version designation of 5.3 or below, or derivative models not positioned as the next flagship GLM release, such as GLM-5.3-Turbo, will not qualify. Staged rollouts of a model already publicly accessible before market creation, such as the open-weight or API release of GLM-5.3, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Z.ai as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Z.ai, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying model must be part of Z.ai's core GLM series, have a name or model identifier that includes "GLM," and be designated as a version greater than 5.3, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version greater than 5.3 named in the same manner as GLM-5.2 or GLM-5.3 would qualify, including versions that skip numbers, such as GLM-5.5 or GLM-6, while models with a version designation of 5.3 or below, or derivative models not positioned as the next flagship GLM release, such as GLM-5.3-Turbo, will not qualify. Staged rollouts of a model already publicly accessible before market creation, such as the open-weight or API release of GLM-5.3, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Z.ai as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Z.ai, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$3,463Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 14, 2026, 5:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Z.ai (formerly Zhipu AI) has followed a consistent cadence of incremental GLM-5 series releases focused on agentic coding and long-horizon tasks, with GLM-5 launching in February 2026, GLM-5.1 in April, and GLM-5.2 in June featuring a 1M-token context window and stronger SWE-Bench Pro and Terminal-Bench performance. Recent leaks and analyst notes point to a potential GLM-5.5 successor targeted for August 2026 that could skip 5.3 and 5.4 entirely, emphasizing further scaling in parameters and agentic capabilities under the same open-weight MIT-license approach. Traders are weighting Z.ai’s own development pipeline most heavily because the company controls the model line, API rollout on z.ai, and Hugging Face releases, though competitive pressure from models like Claude Opus variants and internal compute constraints could still shift timelines. Key near-term catalysts include any official blog post, API update, or benchmark disclosure confirming the next version.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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