North Korea’s irregular testing cadence, with multiple ballistic missile launches recorded across January through June 2026 including tactical systems and cluster-munition variants, keeps probabilities for zero, one, or three-plus tests in August closely aligned. Traders weigh Pyongyang’s pattern of intermittent weapons evaluations under Kim Jong Un against the absence of announced major drills or immediate regional triggers at month-end. Early detections of launches, KCNA reports on new warhead or guidance tests, or shifts tied to U.S.-South Korea exercises could quickly widen gaps by clarifying whether activity aligns with prior monthly averages or escalates.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiNumber of North Korea Missile Tests in August 2026?
Number of North Korea Missile Tests in August 2026?
<1 49%
1 47%
3+ 47%
2 24%
BARU
BARU
Aug 31, 2026
<1
49%
1
47%
2
24%
3+
47%
<1 49%
1 47%
3+ 47%
2 24%
BARU
BARU
Aug 31, 2026
<1
$20 Vol.
49%
1
$20 Vol.
47%
2
$15 Vol.
24%
3+
$20 Vol.
47%
This market will resolve to the number of calendar days on which North Korea (DPRK) conducts a missile launch during August 2026, Pyongyang Time.
If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.
Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.
Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.
Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.North Korea’s irregular testing cadence, with multiple ballistic missile launches recorded across January through June 2026 including tactical systems and cluster-munition variants, keeps probabilities for zero, one, or three-plus tests in August closely aligned. Traders weigh Pyongyang’s pattern of intermittent weapons evaluations under Kim Jong Un against the absence of announced major drills or immediate regional triggers at month-end. Early detections of launches, KCNA reports on new warhead or guidance tests, or shifts tied to U.S.-South Korea exercises could quickly widen gaps by clarifying whether activity aligns with prior monthly averages or escalates.
This market will resolve to the number of calendar days on which North Korea (DPRK) conducts a missile launch during August 2026, Pyongyang Time.
If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.
Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.
Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.
Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.
Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.
Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.
Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 31, 2026, 2:15 PM ET
Volume
$75Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 31, 2026, 2:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the number of calendar days on which North Korea (DPRK) conducts a missile launch during August 2026, Pyongyang Time.
If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.
Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.
Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.
Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.North Korea’s irregular testing cadence, with multiple ballistic missile launches recorded across January through June 2026 including tactical systems and cluster-munition variants, keeps probabilities for zero, one, or three-plus tests in August closely aligned. Traders weigh Pyongyang’s pattern of intermittent weapons evaluations under Kim Jong Un against the absence of announced major drills or immediate regional triggers at month-end. Early detections of launches, KCNA reports on new warhead or guidance tests, or shifts tied to U.S.-South Korea exercises could quickly widen gaps by clarifying whether activity aligns with prior monthly averages or escalates.
This market will resolve to the number of calendar days on which North Korea (DPRK) conducts a missile launch during August 2026, Pyongyang Time.
If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.
Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.
Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.
Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.
Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.
Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.
Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
Volume
$75Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 31, 2026, 2:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...North Korea’s irregular testing cadence, with multiple ballistic missile launches recorded across January through June 2026 including tactical systems and cluster-munition variants, keeps probabilities for zero, one, or three-plus tests in August closely aligned. Traders weigh Pyongyang’s pattern of intermittent weapons evaluations under Kim Jong Un against the absence of announced major drills or immediate regional triggers at month-end. Early detections of launches, KCNA reports on new warhead or guidance tests, or shifts tied to U.S.-South Korea exercises could quickly widen gaps by clarifying whether activity aligns with prior monthly averages or escalates.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan