OpenAI’s ChatGPT has experienced multiple partial or full outages in early June 2026, including degraded service for free and guest users on June 1 and 3 plus disruptions for paid tiers around June 7–8, continuing a pattern of infrastructure strain seen throughout 2025 and early 2026. These incidents, combined with the platform’s rapid scaling of large language model traffic and shared backend dependencies across APIs and chat features, have led traders to assign a 75% implied probability to four or more outage days for the full month. Official status pages show overall uptime above 99.8% in recent quarters, yet the frequency of brief, user-visible degradations keeps lower outcomes like two or three days at just 11.5% each. No major new capacity announcements or regulatory changes have altered this outlook in the past week.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui4+ 75%
2 10%
3 10%
<2 1.1%
BARU
BARU
Jun 30, 2026
<2
1%
2
14%
3
13%
4+
70%
4+ 75%
2 10%
3 10%
<2 1.1%
BARU
BARU
Jun 30, 2026
<2
$4,902 Vol.
1%
2
$420 Vol.
14%
3
$343 Vol.
13%
4+
$2,915 Vol.
70%
This market will resolve to the number of calendar days on which OpenAI's ChatGPT experiences any incident classified as 'Partial/Full Outage' as of the time it is marked as “Resolved” during the specified month (ET).
Only incidents listing ChatGPT under 'Affected components' will be considered. Incidents labeled as affecting 'APIs,' or 'Sora,' but not ChatGPT, will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Classifications of an incident while it is ongoing will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only classifications of events that are resolved will be considered.
Qualifying incidents include outages and other issues classified as 'Partial/Full Outage' when they are resolved, during this market's above-specified timeframe.
Revisions that upgrade an incident’s impact classification to 'Partial/Full Outage' will qualify if the incident was resolved and the revision is published within this market’s timeframe.
This market will resolve at 12:00 PM ET on the day following the specified timeframe, provided no incident that began during the specified timeframe is ongoing, and all relevant data has been released. If either condition is not met, the market will remain open until the incident is marked as “Resolved” and all relevant data has been released. If all relevant data has not been released by the end of the seventh day after the specified timeframe, this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official system status information published by OpenAI on status.openai.com; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI’s ChatGPT has experienced multiple partial or full outages in early June 2026, including degraded service for free and guest users on June 1 and 3 plus disruptions for paid tiers around June 7–8, continuing a pattern of infrastructure strain seen throughout 2025 and early 2026. These incidents, combined with the platform’s rapid scaling of large language model traffic and shared backend dependencies across APIs and chat features, have led traders to assign a 75% implied probability to four or more outage days for the full month. Official status pages show overall uptime above 99.8% in recent quarters, yet the frequency of brief, user-visible degradations keeps lower outcomes like two or three days at just 11.5% each. No major new capacity announcements or regulatory changes have altered this outlook in the past week.
This market will resolve to the number of calendar days on which OpenAI's ChatGPT experiences any incident classified as 'Partial/Full Outage' as of the time it is marked as “Resolved” during the specified month (ET).
Only incidents listing ChatGPT under 'Affected components' will be considered. Incidents labeled as affecting 'APIs,' or 'Sora,' but not ChatGPT, will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Classifications of an incident while it is ongoing will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only classifications of events that are resolved will be considered.
Qualifying incidents include outages and other issues classified as 'Partial/Full Outage' when they are resolved, during this market's above-specified timeframe.
Revisions that upgrade an incident’s impact classification to 'Partial/Full Outage' will qualify if the incident was resolved and the revision is published within this market’s timeframe.
This market will resolve at 12:00 PM ET on the day following the specified timeframe, provided no incident that began during the specified timeframe is ongoing, and all relevant data has been released. If either condition is not met, the market will remain open until the incident is marked as “Resolved” and all relevant data has been released. If all relevant data has not been released by the end of the seventh day after the specified timeframe, this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official system status information published by OpenAI on status.openai.com; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Only incidents listing ChatGPT under 'Affected components' will be considered. Incidents labeled as affecting 'APIs,' or 'Sora,' but not ChatGPT, will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Classifications of an incident while it is ongoing will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only classifications of events that are resolved will be considered.
Qualifying incidents include outages and other issues classified as 'Partial/Full Outage' when they are resolved, during this market's above-specified timeframe.
Revisions that upgrade an incident’s impact classification to 'Partial/Full Outage' will qualify if the incident was resolved and the revision is published within this market’s timeframe.
This market will resolve at 12:00 PM ET on the day following the specified timeframe, provided no incident that began during the specified timeframe is ongoing, and all relevant data has been released. If either condition is not met, the market will remain open until the incident is marked as “Resolved” and all relevant data has been released. If all relevant data has not been released by the end of the seventh day after the specified timeframe, this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official system status information published by OpenAI on status.openai.com; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Pasar Dibuka: May 26, 2026, 6:35 PM ET
Volume
$8,581Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 26, 2026, 6:35 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the number of calendar days on which OpenAI's ChatGPT experiences any incident classified as 'Partial/Full Outage' as of the time it is marked as “Resolved” during the specified month (ET).
Only incidents listing ChatGPT under 'Affected components' will be considered. Incidents labeled as affecting 'APIs,' or 'Sora,' but not ChatGPT, will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Classifications of an incident while it is ongoing will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only classifications of events that are resolved will be considered.
Qualifying incidents include outages and other issues classified as 'Partial/Full Outage' when they are resolved, during this market's above-specified timeframe.
Revisions that upgrade an incident’s impact classification to 'Partial/Full Outage' will qualify if the incident was resolved and the revision is published within this market’s timeframe.
This market will resolve at 12:00 PM ET on the day following the specified timeframe, provided no incident that began during the specified timeframe is ongoing, and all relevant data has been released. If either condition is not met, the market will remain open until the incident is marked as “Resolved” and all relevant data has been released. If all relevant data has not been released by the end of the seventh day after the specified timeframe, this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official system status information published by OpenAI on status.openai.com; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI’s ChatGPT has experienced multiple partial or full outages in early June 2026, including degraded service for free and guest users on June 1 and 3 plus disruptions for paid tiers around June 7–8, continuing a pattern of infrastructure strain seen throughout 2025 and early 2026. These incidents, combined with the platform’s rapid scaling of large language model traffic and shared backend dependencies across APIs and chat features, have led traders to assign a 75% implied probability to four or more outage days for the full month. Official status pages show overall uptime above 99.8% in recent quarters, yet the frequency of brief, user-visible degradations keeps lower outcomes like two or three days at just 11.5% each. No major new capacity announcements or regulatory changes have altered this outlook in the past week.
This market will resolve to the number of calendar days on which OpenAI's ChatGPT experiences any incident classified as 'Partial/Full Outage' as of the time it is marked as “Resolved” during the specified month (ET).
Only incidents listing ChatGPT under 'Affected components' will be considered. Incidents labeled as affecting 'APIs,' or 'Sora,' but not ChatGPT, will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Classifications of an incident while it is ongoing will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only classifications of events that are resolved will be considered.
Qualifying incidents include outages and other issues classified as 'Partial/Full Outage' when they are resolved, during this market's above-specified timeframe.
Revisions that upgrade an incident’s impact classification to 'Partial/Full Outage' will qualify if the incident was resolved and the revision is published within this market’s timeframe.
This market will resolve at 12:00 PM ET on the day following the specified timeframe, provided no incident that began during the specified timeframe is ongoing, and all relevant data has been released. If either condition is not met, the market will remain open until the incident is marked as “Resolved” and all relevant data has been released. If all relevant data has not been released by the end of the seventh day after the specified timeframe, this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official system status information published by OpenAI on status.openai.com; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Only incidents listing ChatGPT under 'Affected components' will be considered. Incidents labeled as affecting 'APIs,' or 'Sora,' but not ChatGPT, will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Classifications of an incident while it is ongoing will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only classifications of events that are resolved will be considered.
Qualifying incidents include outages and other issues classified as 'Partial/Full Outage' when they are resolved, during this market's above-specified timeframe.
Revisions that upgrade an incident’s impact classification to 'Partial/Full Outage' will qualify if the incident was resolved and the revision is published within this market’s timeframe.
This market will resolve at 12:00 PM ET on the day following the specified timeframe, provided no incident that began during the specified timeframe is ongoing, and all relevant data has been released. If either condition is not met, the market will remain open until the incident is marked as “Resolved” and all relevant data has been released. If all relevant data has not been released by the end of the seventh day after the specified timeframe, this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official system status information published by OpenAI on status.openai.com; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$8,581Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 26, 2026, 6:35 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...OpenAI’s ChatGPT has experienced multiple partial or full outages in early June 2026, including degraded service for free and guest users on June 1 and 3 plus disruptions for paid tiers around June 7–8, continuing a pattern of infrastructure strain seen throughout 2025 and early 2026. These incidents, combined with the platform’s rapid scaling of large language model traffic and shared backend dependencies across APIs and chat features, have led traders to assign a 75% implied probability to four or more outage days for the full month. Official status pages show overall uptime above 99.8% in recent quarters, yet the frequency of brief, user-visible degradations keeps lower outcomes like two or three days at just 11.5% each. No major new capacity announcements or regulatory changes have altered this outlook in the past week.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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