OpenAI’s confidential SEC filing in June and CEO Sam Altman’s September 12 confirmation that a 2026 IPO would be ill-advised due to AI safety priorities have shifted focus to a 2027 debut, yet trader consensus on a 1.5T+ closing market cap at 77.8% reflects sustained private-market momentum. The company’s March 2026 round closed at an $852 billion valuation after raising $122 billion, with fresh investor discussions as of mid-September pointing toward a $1.2 trillion mark. This trajectory, combined with robust AI sector multiples and expectations of continued revenue expansion, supports market-implied odds that any eventual listing will command a substantial premium once regulatory and safety milestones are addressed.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui1.5T+ 77.8%
1.25T–1.5T 11%
1T–1.25T 4.9%
No IPO by December 31, 2027 4.8%
$297,877 Vol.
$297,877 Vol.
<500B
1%
500–750B
1%
750B–1T
3%
1T–1.25T
5%
1.25T–1.5T
11%
1.5T+
78%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
5%
1.5T+ 77.8%
1.25T–1.5T 11%
1T–1.25T 4.9%
No IPO by December 31, 2027 4.8%
$297,877 Vol.
$297,877 Vol.
<500B
1%
500–750B
1%
750B–1T
3%
1T–1.25T
5%
1.25T–1.5T
11%
1.5T+
78%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
5%
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Pasar Dibuka: Feb 6, 2026, 6:07 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...OpenAI’s confidential SEC filing in June and CEO Sam Altman’s September 12 confirmation that a 2026 IPO would be ill-advised due to AI safety priorities have shifted focus to a 2027 debut, yet trader consensus on a 1.5T+ closing market cap at 77.8% reflects sustained private-market momentum. The company’s March 2026 round closed at an $852 billion valuation after raising $122 billion, with fresh investor discussions as of mid-September pointing toward a $1.2 trillion mark. This trajectory, combined with robust AI sector multiples and expectations of continued revenue expansion, supports market-implied odds that any eventual listing will command a substantial premium once regulatory and safety milestones are addressed.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui

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