OpenAI’s March 2026 close of a record $122 billion funding round at an $852 billion post-money valuation anchors current trader sentiment for its end-of-August mark, with the $800–900 billion range commanding the clearest majority. Subsequent IPO groundwork, including confidential filings and discussions targeting up to $1 trillion, has sustained momentum toward the $900 billion–$1 trillion band by underscoring strong investor demand and competitive positioning against rivals like Anthropic and Google. No major new funding rounds, model releases, or regulatory shifts have emerged in the past several weeks to alter that trajectory, leaving the near-term outcome dependent on whether any late-August announcements or market sentiment around the planned public offering timeline can nudge the implied valuation higher before month-end.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui$800-$900B 63%
$900B-$1.00T 37%
$1.00-$1.10T 1.5%
<$600B <1%
<$600B
1%
$600-$700B
1%
$700-$800B
<1%
$800-$900B
63%
$900B-$1.00T
37%
$1.00-$1.10T
2%
$1.10-$1.20T
1%
$1.20-$1.30T
<1%
$1.30T+
1%
$800-$900B 63%
$900B-$1.00T 37%
$1.00-$1.10T 1.5%
<$600B <1%
<$600B
1%
$600-$700B
1%
$700-$800B
<1%
$800-$900B
63%
$900B-$1.00T
37%
$1.00-$1.10T
2%
$1.10-$1.20T
1%
$1.20-$1.30T
<1%
$1.30T+
1%
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
NPM Prices are published for trading days only and are updated once daily at 1:00 PM ET on the following calendar day.
If NPM has not published relevant data for the last trading day of the specified month by 1:00 PM ET on the day following the last trading day of the specified month, this market may remain open until 11:59 PM ET on the third business day following the last trading day of the specified month. If no further data is released by that time, the market will resolve according to the data available.
If NPM ceases publishing relevant data prior to the end of the specified period, this market will resolve based on the NPM data published for the period prior to the cessation of coverage, as well as any applicable public market capitalization data following an IPO or direct listing.
If the company completes an IPO or direct listing before the end of the specified period, this market will consider the company’s public market capitalization on the last trading day of the specified month.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, only NPM valuations and applicable public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is NPM data published here: https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-30839e0b-2730-4495-839f-1bf638fa9cca/data. The resolution source for any period following an IPO, direct listing, or relevant corporate action, will be official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
Revisions to previously published NPM data made after their initial release will not be considered, unless made to correct clearly erroneous data.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 4, 2026, 8:26 PM ET
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
NPM Prices are published for trading days only and are updated once daily at 1:00 PM ET on the following calendar day.
If NPM has not published relevant data for the last trading day of the specified month by 1:00 PM ET on the day following the last trading day of the specified month, this market may remain open until 11:59 PM ET on the third business day following the last trading day of the specified month. If no further data is released by that time, the market will resolve according to the data available.
If NPM ceases publishing relevant data prior to the end of the specified period, this market will resolve based on the NPM data published for the period prior to the cessation of coverage, as well as any applicable public market capitalization data following an IPO or direct listing.
If the company completes an IPO or direct listing before the end of the specified period, this market will consider the company’s public market capitalization on the last trading day of the specified month.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, only NPM valuations and applicable public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is NPM data published here: https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-30839e0b-2730-4495-839f-1bf638fa9cca/data. The resolution source for any period following an IPO, direct listing, or relevant corporate action, will be official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
Revisions to previously published NPM data made after their initial release will not be considered, unless made to correct clearly erroneous data.
OpenAI’s March 2026 close of a record $122 billion funding round at an $852 billion post-money valuation anchors current trader sentiment for its end-of-August mark, with the $800–900 billion range commanding the clearest majority. Subsequent IPO groundwork, including confidential filings and discussions targeting up to $1 trillion, has sustained momentum toward the $900 billion–$1 trillion band by underscoring strong investor demand and competitive positioning against rivals like Anthropic and Google. No major new funding rounds, model releases, or regulatory shifts have emerged in the past several weeks to alter that trajectory, leaving the near-term outcome dependent on whether any late-August announcements or market sentiment around the planned public offering timeline can nudge the implied valuation higher before month-end.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui

Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan