Anthropic holds a commanding lead on the Code Arena WebDev leaderboard with models such as Claude Opus 5 Max and Claude Fable 5 posting Elo scores above 1690—roughly 60–90 points clear of the nearest competitors—reflecting superior performance on agentic front-end tasks, multi-step reasoning, and tool use that define the benchmark. Recent releases of Opus 5 and Fable 5 in mid-2026 extended Anthropic’s edge in long-horizon coding workflows, outpacing OpenAI’s GPT-5.6 variants and Moonshot’s Kimi K3, which briefly topped the board in July before falling behind. Traders assign Anthropic a 67% implied probability through October because sustained dominance on this human-voted arena has historically translated into durable positioning, while lower odds for Google, DeepSeek, and others reflect narrower gaps on general coding benchmarks that have not yet translated to WebDev-specific gains. Upcoming model updates or new arena data could narrow the spread before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiAnthropic 69%
SpaceXAI 10%
DeepSeek 8%
OpenAI 7%
BARU
BARU
Oct 31, 2026
Anthropic
69%
SpaceXAI
10%
DeepSeek
8%
OpenAI
7%
Moonshot
4%
Alibaba
4%
Thinky
4%
Xiaomi
3%
Meta
3%
Poolside
3%
Tencent
3%
Z.ai
1%
ByteDance
1%
7%
Mistral
1%
MiniMax
<1%
Anthropic 69%
SpaceXAI 10%
DeepSeek 8%
OpenAI 7%
BARU
BARU
Oct 31, 2026
Anthropic
$2,553 Vol.
69%
SpaceXAI
$116 Vol.
10%
DeepSeek
$83 Vol.
8%
OpenAI
$113 Vol.
7%
Moonshot
$83 Vol.
4%
Alibaba
$83 Vol.
4%
Thinky
$157 Vol.
4%
Xiaomi
$172 Vol.
3%
Meta
$197 Vol.
3%
Poolside
$216 Vol.
3%
Tencent
$174 Vol.
3%
Z.ai
$88 Vol.
1%
ByteDance
$170 Vol.
1%
$115 Vol.
7%
Mistral
$83 Vol.
1%
MiniMax
$153 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Models" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Anthropic holds a commanding lead on the Code Arena WebDev leaderboard with models such as Claude Opus 5 Max and Claude Fable 5 posting Elo scores above 1690—roughly 60–90 points clear of the nearest competitors—reflecting superior performance on agentic front-end tasks, multi-step reasoning, and tool use that define the benchmark. Recent releases of Opus 5 and Fable 5 in mid-2026 extended Anthropic’s edge in long-horizon coding workflows, outpacing OpenAI’s GPT-5.6 variants and Moonshot’s Kimi K3, which briefly topped the board in July before falling behind. Traders assign Anthropic a 67% implied probability through October because sustained dominance on this human-voted arena has historically translated into durable positioning, while lower odds for Google, DeepSeek, and others reflect narrower gaps on general coding benchmarks that have not yet translated to WebDev-specific gains. Upcoming model updates or new arena data could narrow the spread before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Models" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 12, 2026, 7:56 PM ET
Volume
$4,557Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 12, 2026, 7:56 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Models" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Anthropic holds a commanding lead on the Code Arena WebDev leaderboard with models such as Claude Opus 5 Max and Claude Fable 5 posting Elo scores above 1690—roughly 60–90 points clear of the nearest competitors—reflecting superior performance on agentic front-end tasks, multi-step reasoning, and tool use that define the benchmark. Recent releases of Opus 5 and Fable 5 in mid-2026 extended Anthropic’s edge in long-horizon coding workflows, outpacing OpenAI’s GPT-5.6 variants and Moonshot’s Kimi K3, which briefly topped the board in July before falling behind. Traders assign Anthropic a 67% implied probability through October because sustained dominance on this human-voted arena has historically translated into durable positioning, while lower odds for Google, DeepSeek, and others reflect narrower gaps on general coding benchmarks that have not yet translated to WebDev-specific gains. Upcoming model updates or new arena data could narrow the spread before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Models" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$4,557Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 12, 2026, 7:56 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic holds a commanding lead on the Code Arena WebDev leaderboard with models such as Claude Opus 5 Max and Claude Fable 5 posting Elo scores above 1690—roughly 60–90 points clear of the nearest competitors—reflecting superior performance on agentic front-end tasks, multi-step reasoning, and tool use that define the benchmark. Recent releases of Opus 5 and Fable 5 in mid-2026 extended Anthropic’s edge in long-horizon coding workflows, outpacing OpenAI’s GPT-5.6 variants and Moonshot’s Kimi K3, which briefly topped the board in July before falling behind. Traders assign Anthropic a 67% implied probability through October because sustained dominance on this human-voted arena has historically translated into durable positioning, while lower odds for Google, DeepSeek, and others reflect narrower gaps on general coding benchmarks that have not yet translated to WebDev-specific gains. Upcoming model updates or new arena data could narrow the spread before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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