Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 51% implied probability to no Perplexity IPO before 2028, anchored by CEO Aravind Srinivas's explicit March 2025 statement ruling out a public listing until then, allowing focus on private growth amid a frothy AI funding environment. The AI search engine's valuation reached $20 billion in its September 2025 round, raising $200 million, propelled by surging annual recurring revenue exceeding $450 million by early 2026, 100 million monthly active users, and enterprise deals leveraging agentic capabilities like Perplexity Computer. Mid-tier outcomes such as 50B–75B (12.7%) and 75B–100B (10.2%) capture optimism for scaled AI model integrations and user adoption, tempered by ongoing lawsuits from publishers like The New York Times; no near-term catalysts like S-1 filings have emerged to shift sentiment.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiNo IPO before 2028 51%
50B–75B 15.5%
40B–50B 11.9%
75B–100B 9.7%
$139,856 Vol.
$139,856 Vol.
Dec 31, 2027
<20B
7%
20B–30B
4%
30B–40B
6%
40B–50B
12%
50B–75B
16%
75B–100B
10%
100B+
6%
No IPO before 2028
51%
No IPO before 2028 51%
50B–75B 15.5%
40B–50B 11.9%
75B–100B 9.7%
$139,856 Vol.
$139,856 Vol.
Dec 31, 2027
<20B
$4,474 Vol.
7%
20B–30B
$5,889 Vol.
4%
30B–40B
$4,389 Vol.
6%
40B–50B
$4,192 Vol.
12%
50B–75B
$6,236 Vol.
16%
75B–100B
$3,386 Vol.
10%
100B+
$4,853 Vol.
6%
No IPO before 2028
$106,438 Vol.
51%
This market will resolve based on Perplexity's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 51% implied probability to no Perplexity IPO before 2028, anchored by CEO Aravind Srinivas's explicit March 2025 statement ruling out a public listing until then, allowing focus on private growth amid a frothy AI funding environment. The AI search engine's valuation reached $20 billion in its September 2025 round, raising $200 million, propelled by surging annual recurring revenue exceeding $450 million by early 2026, 100 million monthly active users, and enterprise deals leveraging agentic capabilities like Perplexity Computer. Mid-tier outcomes such as 50B–75B (12.7%) and 75B–100B (10.2%) capture optimism for scaled AI model integrations and user adoption, tempered by ongoing lawsuits from publishers like The New York Times; no near-term catalysts like S-1 filings have emerged to shift sentiment.
This market will resolve based on Perplexity's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 5, 2026, 6:06 PM ET
Volume
$139,856Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2027Pasar Dibuka
Jan 5, 2026, 6:06 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Perplexity's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 51% implied probability to no Perplexity IPO before 2028, anchored by CEO Aravind Srinivas's explicit March 2025 statement ruling out a public listing until then, allowing focus on private growth amid a frothy AI funding environment. The AI search engine's valuation reached $20 billion in its September 2025 round, raising $200 million, propelled by surging annual recurring revenue exceeding $450 million by early 2026, 100 million monthly active users, and enterprise deals leveraging agentic capabilities like Perplexity Computer. Mid-tier outcomes such as 50B–75B (12.7%) and 75B–100B (10.2%) capture optimism for scaled AI model integrations and user adoption, tempered by ongoing lawsuits from publishers like The New York Times; no near-term catalysts like S-1 filings have emerged to shift sentiment.
This market will resolve based on Perplexity's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volume
$139,856Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2027Pasar Dibuka
Jan 5, 2026, 6:06 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 51% implied probability to no Perplexity IPO before 2028, anchored by CEO Aravind Srinivas's explicit March 2025 statement ruling out a public listing until then, allowing focus on private growth amid a frothy AI funding environment. The AI search engine's valuation reached $20 billion in its September 2025 round, raising $200 million, propelled by surging annual recurring revenue exceeding $450 million by early 2026, 100 million monthly active users, and enterprise deals leveraging agentic capabilities like Perplexity Computer. Mid-tier outcomes such as 50B–75B (12.7%) and 75B–100B (10.2%) capture optimism for scaled AI model integrations and user adoption, tempered by ongoing lawsuits from publishers like The New York Times; no near-term catalysts like S-1 filings have emerged to shift sentiment.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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