Putin's regime has maintained firm control through intensified security protocols around the president and purges within security services and elites amid ongoing economic strains from the Ukraine conflict and declining public support for the war. No coup attempt has occurred despite speculation in Western reporting and intelligence assessments highlighting tensions among siloviki factions, generational elite shifts, and vulnerabilities exposed by sanctions and battlefield costs. The system's resilience, rooted in personalized power structures and suppression of opposition, combined with the absence of decisive triggers such as military collapse or coordinated elite defection, underpins the strong trader consensus against a 2026 attempt. Upcoming September parliamentary elections represent a potential pressure point but have not yet altered assessments of near-term stability.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui7% peluang
$126,094 Vol.
$126,094 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
7% peluang
$126,094 Vol.
$126,094 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Russia at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Putin's regime has maintained firm control through intensified security protocols around the president and purges within security services and elites amid ongoing economic strains from the Ukraine conflict and declining public support for the war. No coup attempt has occurred despite speculation in Western reporting and intelligence assessments highlighting tensions among siloviki factions, generational elite shifts, and vulnerabilities exposed by sanctions and battlefield costs. The system's resilience, rooted in personalized power structures and suppression of opposition, combined with the absence of decisive triggers such as military collapse or coordinated elite defection, underpins the strong trader consensus against a 2026 attempt. Upcoming September parliamentary elections represent a potential pressure point but have not yet altered assessments of near-term stability.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Russia at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Pasar Dibuka: May 15, 2026, 3:00 PM ET
Volume
$126,094Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 15, 2026, 3:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Russia at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Putin's regime has maintained firm control through intensified security protocols around the president and purges within security services and elites amid ongoing economic strains from the Ukraine conflict and declining public support for the war. No coup attempt has occurred despite speculation in Western reporting and intelligence assessments highlighting tensions among siloviki factions, generational elite shifts, and vulnerabilities exposed by sanctions and battlefield costs. The system's resilience, rooted in personalized power structures and suppression of opposition, combined with the absence of decisive triggers such as military collapse or coordinated elite defection, underpins the strong trader consensus against a 2026 attempt. Upcoming September parliamentary elections represent a potential pressure point but have not yet altered assessments of near-term stability.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Russia at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$126,094Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 15, 2026, 3:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Putin's regime has maintained firm control through intensified security protocols around the president and purges within security services and elites amid ongoing economic strains from the Ukraine conflict and declining public support for the war. No coup attempt has occurred despite speculation in Western reporting and intelligence assessments highlighting tensions among siloviki factions, generational elite shifts, and vulnerabilities exposed by sanctions and battlefield costs. The system's resilience, rooted in personalized power structures and suppression of opposition, combined with the absence of decisive triggers such as military collapse or coordinated elite defection, underpins the strong trader consensus against a 2026 attempt. Upcoming September parliamentary elections represent a potential pressure point but have not yet altered assessments of near-term stability.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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