Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a China coup attempt before 2027 at just 3.3%, reflecting Xi Jinping's ironclad control over the Chinese Communist Party (CCP), People's Liberation Army (PLA), and security apparatus amid ongoing anti-corruption purges. In the past week, courts issued suspended death sentences to former defense ministers Li Shangfu and Wei Fenghe for bribery, the latest in a sweeping campaign that has ousted dozens of senior generals since early 2026, signaling consolidation rather than instability. No credible reports of organized opposition, elite defections, or mass unrest have emerged in recent months, underscoring structural barriers like surveillance and loyalty oaths. While economic slowdowns or sudden health crises could theoretically spark upheaval, traders see negligible near-term risks through 2026.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui$127,546 Vol.
$127,546 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
$127,546 Vol.
$127,546 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a China coup attempt before 2027 at just 3.3%, reflecting Xi Jinping's ironclad control over the Chinese Communist Party (CCP), People's Liberation Army (PLA), and security apparatus amid ongoing anti-corruption purges. In the past week, courts issued suspended death sentences to former defense ministers Li Shangfu and Wei Fenghe for bribery, the latest in a sweeping campaign that has ousted dozens of senior generals since early 2026, signaling consolidation rather than instability. No credible reports of organized opposition, elite defections, or mass unrest have emerged in recent months, underscoring structural barriers like surveillance and loyalty oaths. While economic slowdowns or sudden health crises could theoretically spark upheaval, traders see negligible near-term risks through 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Pasar Dibuka: Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$127,546Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a China coup attempt before 2027 at just 3.3%, reflecting Xi Jinping's ironclad control over the Chinese Communist Party (CCP), People's Liberation Army (PLA), and security apparatus amid ongoing anti-corruption purges. In the past week, courts issued suspended death sentences to former defense ministers Li Shangfu and Wei Fenghe for bribery, the latest in a sweeping campaign that has ousted dozens of senior generals since early 2026, signaling consolidation rather than instability. No credible reports of organized opposition, elite defections, or mass unrest have emerged in recent months, underscoring structural barriers like surveillance and loyalty oaths. While economic slowdowns or sudden health crises could theoretically spark upheaval, traders see negligible near-term risks through 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$127,546Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a China coup attempt before 2027 at just 3.3%, reflecting Xi Jinping's ironclad control over the Chinese Communist Party (CCP), People's Liberation Army (PLA), and security apparatus amid ongoing anti-corruption purges. In the past week, courts issued suspended death sentences to former defense ministers Li Shangfu and Wei Fenghe for bribery, the latest in a sweeping campaign that has ousted dozens of senior generals since early 2026, signaling consolidation rather than instability. No credible reports of organized opposition, elite defections, or mass unrest have emerged in recent months, underscoring structural barriers like surveillance and loyalty oaths. While economic slowdowns or sudden health crises could theoretically spark upheaval, traders see negligible near-term risks through 2026.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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