Trader sentiment on the second-best Text Arena Math AI lab by end of November reflects a tightly contested race with no clear frontrunner. Google leads at 29% implied probability, ahead of OpenAI at 18%, while a broad field of labs trades near or below 13% amid similar odds for many others. Differentiating factors center on demonstrated large language model performance in advanced mathematical reasoning, symbolic manipulation, and multi-step problem solving on benchmarks like MATH. Recent model releases and capability updates from labs including Anthropic, DeepSeek, and Meta have kept the leaderboard fluid, with traders watching for new training techniques or fine-tuning that could lift one contender ahead of the pack before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiGoogle 29%
Alibaba 20.8%
OpenAI 17%
Anthropic 13%
BARU
BARU
Nov 30, 2026
29%
Alibaba
21%
OpenAI
17%
Anthropic
13%
Moonshot
9%
Z.ai
9%
Thinky
4%
SpaceXAI
4%
DeepSeek
4%
Mistral
4%
Meta
4%
Baidu
4%
Microsoft
4%
Meituan
4%
Tencent
4%
StepFun
4%
MiniMax
4%
ByteDance
4%
Xiaomi
4%
Nvidia
4%
Amazon
3%
Google 29%
Alibaba 20.8%
OpenAI 17%
Anthropic 13%
BARU
BARU
Nov 30, 2026
$349 Vol.
29%
Alibaba
$44 Vol.
21%
OpenAI
$52 Vol.
17%
Anthropic
$326 Vol.
13%
Moonshot
$294 Vol.
9%
Z.ai
$51 Vol.
9%
Thinky
$76 Vol.
4%
SpaceXAI
$46 Vol.
4%
DeepSeek
$268 Vol.
4%
Mistral
$216 Vol.
4%
Meta
$45 Vol.
4%
Baidu
$50 Vol.
4%
Microsoft
$90 Vol.
4%
Meituan
$46 Vol.
4%
Tencent
$45 Vol.
4%
StepFun
$64 Vol.
4%
MiniMax
$46 Vol.
4%
ByteDance
$44 Vol.
4%
Xiaomi
$47 Vol.
4%
Nvidia
$45 Vol.
4%
Amazon
$353 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Trader sentiment on the second-best Text Arena Math AI lab by end of November reflects a tightly contested race with no clear frontrunner. Google leads at 29% implied probability, ahead of OpenAI at 18%, while a broad field of labs trades near or below 13% amid similar odds for many others. Differentiating factors center on demonstrated large language model performance in advanced mathematical reasoning, symbolic manipulation, and multi-step problem solving on benchmarks like MATH. Recent model releases and capability updates from labs including Anthropic, DeepSeek, and Meta have kept the leaderboard fluid, with traders watching for new training techniques or fine-tuning that could lift one contender ahead of the pack before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 17, 2026, 8:05 PM ET
Volume
$2,594Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 1, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 17, 2026, 8:05 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Trader sentiment on the second-best Text Arena Math AI lab by end of November reflects a tightly contested race with no clear frontrunner. Google leads at 29% implied probability, ahead of OpenAI at 18%, while a broad field of labs trades near or below 13% amid similar odds for many others. Differentiating factors center on demonstrated large language model performance in advanced mathematical reasoning, symbolic manipulation, and multi-step problem solving on benchmarks like MATH. Recent model releases and capability updates from labs including Anthropic, DeepSeek, and Meta have kept the leaderboard fluid, with traders watching for new training techniques or fine-tuning that could lift one contender ahead of the pack before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$2,594Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 1, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 17, 2026, 8:05 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment on the second-best Text Arena Math AI lab by end of November reflects a tightly contested race with no clear frontrunner. Google leads at 29% implied probability, ahead of OpenAI at 18%, while a broad field of labs trades near or below 13% amid similar odds for many others. Differentiating factors center on demonstrated large language model performance in advanced mathematical reasoning, symbolic manipulation, and multi-step problem solving on benchmarks like MATH. Recent model releases and capability updates from labs including Anthropic, DeepSeek, and Meta have kept the leaderboard fluid, with traders watching for new training techniques or fine-tuning that could lift one contender ahead of the pack before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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