Recent upward pressure on South Korea’s headline CPI, driven by elevated global oil prices amid Middle East geopolitical tensions, has lifted April 2026 inflation to 2.6 percent year-over-year from 2.2 percent in March. The Bank of Korea now sees both headline and core inflation exceeding its earlier 2.2 percent baseline for the year, prompting deputy governor comments that rate hikes may warrant consideration as early as mid-2026. This shift has narrowed the gap between market-implied odds for the 2.4–2.6 percent and 2.1–2.3 percent annual average bands, with traders balancing persistent energy pass-through effects against government price-stabilization measures and moderating core trends. Key upcoming releases, including May CPI data and the next Monetary Policy Committee meeting, will likely refine these probabilities further.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui3.0%+ 43%
2.4% to 2.6% 38.1%
1.5% to 1.7% 8%
<1.5% 5.9%
$11,072 Vol.
$11,072 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
<1.5%
6%
1.5% to 1.7%
8%
1.8% to 2.0%
31%
2.1% to 2.3%
37%
2.4% to 2.6%
38%
2.7% to 2.9%
31%
3.0%+
35%
3.0%+ 43%
2.4% to 2.6% 38.1%
1.5% to 1.7% 8%
<1.5% 5.9%
$11,072 Vol.
$11,072 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
<1.5%
$1,136 Vol.
6%
1.5% to 1.7%
$959 Vol.
8%
1.8% to 2.0%
$108 Vol.
31%
2.1% to 2.3%
$159 Vol.
37%
2.4% to 2.6%
$145 Vol.
38%
2.7% to 2.9%
$139 Vol.
31%
3.0%+
$8,428 Vol.
35%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Korea in the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the South Korean Ministry of Data and Statistics (MODS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000Recent upward pressure on South Korea’s headline CPI, driven by elevated global oil prices amid Middle East geopolitical tensions, has lifted April 2026 inflation to 2.6 percent year-over-year from 2.2 percent in March. The Bank of Korea now sees both headline and core inflation exceeding its earlier 2.2 percent baseline for the year, prompting deputy governor comments that rate hikes may warrant consideration as early as mid-2026. This shift has narrowed the gap between market-implied odds for the 2.4–2.6 percent and 2.1–2.3 percent annual average bands, with traders balancing persistent energy pass-through effects against government price-stabilization measures and moderating core trends. Key upcoming releases, including May CPI data and the next Monetary Policy Committee meeting, will likely refine these probabilities further.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Korea in the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the South Korean Ministry of Data and Statistics (MODS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
Pasar Dibuka: Feb 6, 2026, 5:40 PM ET
Volume
$11,072Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Feb 6, 2026, 5:40 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Korea in the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the South Korean Ministry of Data and Statistics (MODS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000Recent upward pressure on South Korea’s headline CPI, driven by elevated global oil prices amid Middle East geopolitical tensions, has lifted April 2026 inflation to 2.6 percent year-over-year from 2.2 percent in March. The Bank of Korea now sees both headline and core inflation exceeding its earlier 2.2 percent baseline for the year, prompting deputy governor comments that rate hikes may warrant consideration as early as mid-2026. This shift has narrowed the gap between market-implied odds for the 2.4–2.6 percent and 2.1–2.3 percent annual average bands, with traders balancing persistent energy pass-through effects against government price-stabilization measures and moderating core trends. Key upcoming releases, including May CPI data and the next Monetary Policy Committee meeting, will likely refine these probabilities further.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Korea in the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the South Korean Ministry of Data and Statistics (MODS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
Volume
$11,072Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Feb 6, 2026, 5:40 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent upward pressure on South Korea’s headline CPI, driven by elevated global oil prices amid Middle East geopolitical tensions, has lifted April 2026 inflation to 2.6 percent year-over-year from 2.2 percent in March. The Bank of Korea now sees both headline and core inflation exceeding its earlier 2.2 percent baseline for the year, prompting deputy governor comments that rate hikes may warrant consideration as early as mid-2026. This shift has narrowed the gap between market-implied odds for the 2.4–2.6 percent and 2.1–2.3 percent annual average bands, with traders balancing persistent energy pass-through effects against government price-stabilization measures and moderating core trends. Key upcoming releases, including May CPI data and the next Monetary Policy Committee meeting, will likely refine these probabilities further.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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