Recent polling averages show the Texas U.S. Senate race between Democratic state Rep. James Talarico and Republican state Attorney General Ken Paxton locked in a near dead heat, with Talarico holding narrow edges in several surveys driven by his strength among independents, moderates, and voters under 50. Paxton's primary victory over incumbent John Cornyn, backed by a late endorsement from President Trump, has left some Republican voters lukewarm, contributing to the tightness in a state that has not elected a Democratic senator in decades. Key issues such as the economy and immigration continue to divide voters along generational and educational lines. Further separation could emerge from shifts in early voting turnout, major campaign spending surges, or late-breaking developments before the November 3 general election.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui$850,115 Vol.
$850,115 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
James Talarico (D)
52%
Ken Paxton (R)
49%
$850,115 Vol.
$850,115 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
James Talarico (D)
$407,914 Vol.
52%
Ken Paxton (R)
$442,201 Vol.
49%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Recent polling averages show the Texas U.S. Senate race between Democratic state Rep. James Talarico and Republican state Attorney General Ken Paxton locked in a near dead heat, with Talarico holding narrow edges in several surveys driven by his strength among independents, moderates, and voters under 50. Paxton's primary victory over incumbent John Cornyn, backed by a late endorsement from President Trump, has left some Republican voters lukewarm, contributing to the tightness in a state that has not elected a Democratic senator in decades. Key issues such as the economy and immigration continue to divide voters along generational and educational lines. Further separation could emerge from shifts in early voting turnout, major campaign spending surges, or late-breaking developments before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Pasar Dibuka: Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ET
Volume
$850,115Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Recent polling averages show the Texas U.S. Senate race between Democratic state Rep. James Talarico and Republican state Attorney General Ken Paxton locked in a near dead heat, with Talarico holding narrow edges in several surveys driven by his strength among independents, moderates, and voters under 50. Paxton's primary victory over incumbent John Cornyn, backed by a late endorsement from President Trump, has left some Republican voters lukewarm, contributing to the tightness in a state that has not elected a Democratic senator in decades. Key issues such as the economy and immigration continue to divide voters along generational and educational lines. Further separation could emerge from shifts in early voting turnout, major campaign spending surges, or late-breaking developments before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$850,115Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polling averages show the Texas U.S. Senate race between Democratic state Rep. James Talarico and Republican state Attorney General Ken Paxton locked in a near dead heat, with Talarico holding narrow edges in several surveys driven by his strength among independents, moderates, and voters under 50. Paxton's primary victory over incumbent John Cornyn, backed by a late endorsement from President Trump, has left some Republican voters lukewarm, contributing to the tightness in a state that has not elected a Democratic senator in decades. Key issues such as the economy and immigration continue to divide voters along generational and educational lines. Further separation could emerge from shifts in early voting turnout, major campaign spending surges, or late-breaking developments before the November 3 general election.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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