The closely matched odds across numerous AI labs reflect intense competition in agentic systems, where capabilities like multi-step reasoning, tool integration, and real-world task execution remain fluid. Traders see no clear third-place leader behind frontrunners because OpenAI, Anthropic, Google, and emerging players such as ByteDance and DeepSeek continue releasing incremental improvements in large language model scaffolding and autonomous workflows. Key differentiators include demonstrated benchmark gains on agent evaluations, developer ecosystem strength, and access to proprietary data or compute. With November resolution approaching, any major model update or public capability demo could quickly shift sentiment in this fragmented field.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiMeta 31%
Microsoft 31%
Amazon 26%
Z.ai 25%
BARU
BARU
Nov 30, 2026
Meta
31%
Microsoft
31%
Amazon
26%
Z.ai
25%
DeepSeek
25%
Xiaomi
25%
ByteDance
25%
Baidu
25%
Meituan
25%
Nvidia
25%
SpaceXAI
14%
MiniMax
14%
Mistral
14%
Anthropic
13%
Alibaba
13%
13%
Moonshot
13%
Tencent
13%
OpenAI
12%
Meta 31%
Microsoft 31%
Amazon 26%
Z.ai 25%
BARU
BARU
Nov 30, 2026
Meta
$0 Vol.
31%
Microsoft
$0 Vol.
31%
Amazon
$0 Vol.
26%
Z.ai
$0 Vol.
25%
DeepSeek
$0 Vol.
25%
Xiaomi
$0 Vol.
25%
ByteDance
$0 Vol.
25%
Baidu
$0 Vol.
25%
Meituan
$0 Vol.
25%
Nvidia
$0 Vol.
25%
SpaceXAI
$0 Vol.
14%
MiniMax
$0 Vol.
14%
Mistral
$0 Vol.
14%
Anthropic
$0 Vol.
13%
Alibaba
$0 Vol.
13%
$0 Vol.
13%
Moonshot
$0 Vol.
13%
Tencent
$0 Vol.
13%
OpenAI
$0 Vol.
12%
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".The closely matched odds across numerous AI labs reflect intense competition in agentic systems, where capabilities like multi-step reasoning, tool integration, and real-world task execution remain fluid. Traders see no clear third-place leader behind frontrunners because OpenAI, Anthropic, Google, and emerging players such as ByteDance and DeepSeek continue releasing incremental improvements in large language model scaffolding and autonomous workflows. Key differentiators include demonstrated benchmark gains on agent evaluations, developer ecosystem strength, and access to proprietary data or compute. With November resolution approaching, any major model update or public capability demo could quickly shift sentiment in this fragmented field.
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 17, 2026, 8:04 PM ET
Volume
$0Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 1, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 17, 2026, 8:04 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".The closely matched odds across numerous AI labs reflect intense competition in agentic systems, where capabilities like multi-step reasoning, tool integration, and real-world task execution remain fluid. Traders see no clear third-place leader behind frontrunners because OpenAI, Anthropic, Google, and emerging players such as ByteDance and DeepSeek continue releasing incremental improvements in large language model scaffolding and autonomous workflows. Key differentiators include demonstrated benchmark gains on agent evaluations, developer ecosystem strength, and access to proprietary data or compute. With November resolution approaching, any major model update or public capability demo could quickly shift sentiment in this fragmented field.
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$0Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 1, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 17, 2026, 8:04 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The closely matched odds across numerous AI labs reflect intense competition in agentic systems, where capabilities like multi-step reasoning, tool integration, and real-world task execution remain fluid. Traders see no clear third-place leader behind frontrunners because OpenAI, Anthropic, Google, and emerging players such as ByteDance and DeepSeek continue releasing incremental improvements in large language model scaffolding and autonomous workflows. Key differentiators include demonstrated benchmark gains on agent evaluations, developer ecosystem strength, and access to proprietary data or compute. With November resolution approaching, any major model update or public capability demo could quickly shift sentiment in this fragmented field.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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