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icon for Trump meets with Mark Carney by...?

Trump meets with Mark Carney by...?

icon for Trump meets with Mark Carney by...?

Trump meets with Mark Carney by...?

BARU
Aug 31, 2026
Polymarket

$2,343 Vol.

Polymarket

August 31

$1,214 Vol.

1%

September 15

$991 Vol.

8%

September 30

$72 Vol.

32%

October 31

$66 Vol.

52%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump meets with Mark Carney between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Trump and Carney are present and interact with each other in person. An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.**Ongoing US-Canada trade tensions following the August 22, 2026, collapse of bilateral negotiations form the central driver of market sentiment around any Trump-Carney meeting.** Prime Minister Mark Carney suspended talks after rejecting what he described as excessive US demands on tariffs, autos, steel, aluminum, and other sectors, prompting President Trump to impose or escalate 50% tariffs on roughly $20 billion in Canadian goods effective around late August. Carney has framed the dispute as a defense of Canadian sovereignty and economic autonomy, with Ottawa preparing retaliatory measures after Labour Day. Earlier in-person engagements occurred in 2025, including White House visits and G7 discussions, but the current standoff—with both sides publicly criticizing the other—has reduced near-term diplomatic momentum absent new catalysts such as scheduled summits or breakthrough signals. Traders weigh the incentive for leaders to meet and de-escalate against the risk of prolonged impasse.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump meets with Mark Carney between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Trump and Carney are present and interact with each other in person.

An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$2,343
Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Aug 26, 2026, 6:20 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump meets with Mark Carney between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Trump and Carney are present and interact with each other in person. An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump meets with Mark Carney between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Trump and Carney are present and interact with each other in person. An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.**Ongoing US-Canada trade tensions following the August 22, 2026, collapse of bilateral negotiations form the central driver of market sentiment around any Trump-Carney meeting.** Prime Minister Mark Carney suspended talks after rejecting what he described as excessive US demands on tariffs, autos, steel, aluminum, and other sectors, prompting President Trump to impose or escalate 50% tariffs on roughly $20 billion in Canadian goods effective around late August. Carney has framed the dispute as a defense of Canadian sovereignty and economic autonomy, with Ottawa preparing retaliatory measures after Labour Day. Earlier in-person engagements occurred in 2025, including White House visits and G7 discussions, but the current standoff—with both sides publicly criticizing the other—has reduced near-term diplomatic momentum absent new catalysts such as scheduled summits or breakthrough signals. Traders weigh the incentive for leaders to meet and de-escalate against the risk of prolonged impasse.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump meets with Mark Carney between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Trump and Carney are present and interact with each other in person.

An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$2,343
Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Aug 26, 2026, 6:20 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump meets with Mark Carney between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Trump and Carney are present and interact with each other in person. An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Trump meets with Mark Carney by...?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 4 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "October 31" di 52%, diikuti oleh "September 30" di 32%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 52¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 52% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

"Trump meets with Mark Carney by...?" adalah pasar yang baru dibuat di Polymarket, diluncurkan pada Aug 26, 2026. Sebagai pasar awal, ini adalah kesempatanmu untuk menjadi salah satu trader pertama yang menetapkan peluang dan membangun sinyal harga awal pasar. Kamu juga bisa menandai halaman ini untuk melacak volume dan aktivitas trading seiring pasar mendapatkan traksi.

Untuk trading di "Trump meets with Mark Carney by...?," jelajahi 4 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Trump meets with Mark Carney by...?" adalah "October 31" di 52%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 52% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "September 30" di 32%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Trump meets with Mark Carney by...?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.