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Elections·Canada

Vancouver Mayoral Election Winner

icon for Vancouver Mayoral Election Winner
Elections·Canada

Vancouver Mayoral Election Winner

Kareem Allam 51%

Ken Sim 29%

Pete Fry 10.0%

William Azaroff 5.1%

Polymarket

$97,486 Vol.

Kareem Allam 51%

Ken Sim 29%

Pete Fry 10.0%

William Azaroff 5.1%

Polymarket

$97,486 Vol.

icon for Kareem Allam

Kareem Allam

$37,906 Vol.

51%

icon for Ken Sim

Ken Sim

$17,418 Vol.

29%

icon for Pete Fry

Pete Fry

$14,914 Vol.

10%

icon for William Azaroff

William Azaroff

$5,164 Vol.

5%

icon for Colleen Hardwick

Colleen Hardwick

$2,672 Vol.

1%

icon for John Coupar

John Coupar

$3,249 Vol.

1%

icon for Amanda Burrows

Amanda Burrows

$1,806 Vol.

1%

icon for Rebecca Bligh

Rebecca Bligh

$2,808 Vol.

1%

icon for Sean Orr

Sean Orr

$2,098 Vol.

<1%

icon for Kirk LaPointe

Kirk LaPointe

$2,576 Vol.

<1%

icon for Tim Louis

Tim Louis

$5,057 Vol.

<1%

icon for Fred Harding

Fred Harding

$1,819 Vol.

<1%

The 2026 Vancouver mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 17, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Vancouver as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Vancouver.Kareem Allam holds the lead in trader consensus for Vancouver's October 17, 2026 mayoral election due to his background as Ken Sim's former chief of staff and 2022 ABC Vancouver campaign manager, combined with his launch of the new Vancouver Liberals party positioning him as a centrist alternative. Incumbent Sim trails amid a fragmented field that includes Green councillor Pete Fry, OneCity's William Azaroff, Vote Vancouver's Rebecca Bligh, and others, which traders expect to split progressive and moderate votes. Recent developments include Allam's formal campaign launch in late 2025, Sim's re-election announcement emphasizing public safety and affordability gains, and the entry of additional candidates in spring 2026, all of which have reinforced Allam's edge in skin-in-the-game pricing without major shifts in the past month.

The 2026 Vancouver mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 17, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Vancouver as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Vancouver.
Volume
$97,486
Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 17, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Apr 2, 2026, 4:00 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Vancouver mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 17, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Vancouver as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Vancouver.
The 2026 Vancouver mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 17, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Vancouver as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Vancouver.Kareem Allam holds the lead in trader consensus for Vancouver's October 17, 2026 mayoral election due to his background as Ken Sim's former chief of staff and 2022 ABC Vancouver campaign manager, combined with his launch of the new Vancouver Liberals party positioning him as a centrist alternative. Incumbent Sim trails amid a fragmented field that includes Green councillor Pete Fry, OneCity's William Azaroff, Vote Vancouver's Rebecca Bligh, and others, which traders expect to split progressive and moderate votes. Recent developments include Allam's formal campaign launch in late 2025, Sim's re-election announcement emphasizing public safety and affordability gains, and the entry of additional candidates in spring 2026, all of which have reinforced Allam's edge in skin-in-the-game pricing without major shifts in the past month.

The 2026 Vancouver mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 17, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Vancouver as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Vancouver.
Volume
$97,486
Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 17, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Apr 2, 2026, 4:00 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Vancouver mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 17, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Vancouver as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Vancouver.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Vancouver Mayoral Election Winner" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 12 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Kareem Allam" di 51%, diikuti oleh "Ken Sim" di 28%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 51¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 51% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Vancouver Mayoral Election Winner" telah menghasilkan $97.5K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Apr 2, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Vancouver Mayoral Election Winner," jelajahi 12 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Vancouver Mayoral Election Winner" adalah "Kareem Allam" di 51%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 51% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Ken Sim" di 28%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Vancouver Mayoral Election Winner" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.