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Pemilihan Umum·Kanada

Vancouver Mayoral Election Winner

icon for Vancouver Mayoral Election Winner
Pemilihan Umum·Kanada

Vancouver Mayoral Election Winner

Ken Sim 38%

Pete Fry 28.8%

Kareem Allam 13%

William Azaroff 5.3%

Polymarket

$174,894 Vol.

Ken Sim 38%

Pete Fry 28.8%

Kareem Allam 13%

William Azaroff 5.3%

Polymarket

$174,894 Vol.

icon for Ken Sim

Ken Sim

$29,506 Vol.

38%

icon for Pete Fry

Pete Fry

$29,584 Vol.

29%

icon for Kareem Allam

Kareem Allam

$65,346 Vol.

13%

icon for William Azaroff

William Azaroff

$16,843 Vol.

5%

icon for Colleen Hardwick

Colleen Hardwick

$4,830 Vol.

3%

icon for Sean Orr

Sean Orr

$3,086 Vol.

1%

icon for John Coupar

John Coupar

$5,145 Vol.

1%

icon for Amanda Burrows

Amanda Burrows

$2,983 Vol.

1%

icon for Kirk LaPointe

Kirk LaPointe

$3,447 Vol.

1%

icon for Rebecca Bligh

Rebecca Bligh

$4,177 Vol.

1%

icon for Stephanie Allen

Stephanie Allen

$687 Vol.

1%

icon for Fred Harding

Fred Harding

$2,768 Vol.

<1%

icon for Tim Louis

Tim Louis

$6,491 Vol.

<1%

The 2026 Vancouver mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 17, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Vancouver as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Vancouver.Incumbent Ken Sim of ABC Vancouver holds the lead in the October 17, 2026 Vancouver mayoral race according to recent Research Co. polling of decided voters, yet the field remains fragmented with Green Party councillor Pete Fry and Vancouver Liberals candidate Kareem Allam splitting opposition support at comparable levels. Over a quarter of voters remain undecided, contributing to volatility in early surveys where Fry briefly led in July data. A crowded slate including independent and other party challengers heightens the risk of vote splitting, keeping probabilities for the top three contenders closely matched in trader assessments. Nomination deadlines in early September, advance voting periods, and potential consolidation among non-incumbent options could shift momentum before election day.

The 2026 Vancouver mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 17, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Vancouver as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Vancouver.
Volume
$174,894
Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 17, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Apr 2, 2026, 4:00 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Vancouver mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 17, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Vancouver as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Vancouver.
The 2026 Vancouver mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 17, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Vancouver as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Vancouver.Incumbent Ken Sim of ABC Vancouver holds the lead in the October 17, 2026 Vancouver mayoral race according to recent Research Co. polling of decided voters, yet the field remains fragmented with Green Party councillor Pete Fry and Vancouver Liberals candidate Kareem Allam splitting opposition support at comparable levels. Over a quarter of voters remain undecided, contributing to volatility in early surveys where Fry briefly led in July data. A crowded slate including independent and other party challengers heightens the risk of vote splitting, keeping probabilities for the top three contenders closely matched in trader assessments. Nomination deadlines in early September, advance voting periods, and potential consolidation among non-incumbent options could shift momentum before election day.

The 2026 Vancouver mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 17, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Vancouver as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Vancouver.
Volume
$174,894
Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 17, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Apr 2, 2026, 4:00 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Vancouver mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 17, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Vancouver as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Vancouver.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Vancouver Mayoral Election Winner" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 13 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Ken Sim" di 38%, diikuti oleh "Pete Fry" di 29%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 38¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 38% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Vancouver Mayoral Election Winner" telah menghasilkan $174.9K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Apr 2, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Vancouver Mayoral Election Winner," jelajahi 13 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Vancouver Mayoral Election Winner" adalah "Ken Sim" di 38%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 38% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Pete Fry" di 29%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Vancouver Mayoral Election Winner" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.