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Politik·Primer

Pemenang Utama Senat Republik Virginia

icon for Pemenang Utama Senat Republik Virginia
Politik·Primer

Pemenang Utama Senat Republik Virginia

Bert Mizusawa 48%

Kim Farington 30.6%

David Williams 11%

Alex De Paula 2.6%

Polymarket

$2,402,695 Vol.

Bert Mizusawa 48%

Kim Farington 30.6%

David Williams 11%

Alex De Paula 2.6%

Polymarket

$2,402,695 Vol.

Bert Mizusawa

$10,875 Vol.

48%

Kim Farington

$457,248 Vol.

31%

David Williams

$14,405 Vol.

11%

Alex De Paula

$3,642 Vol.

3%

Chuck Smith

$5,309 Vol.

2%

Bryce Reeves

$37,826 Vol.

1%

Al Mina

$1,847,163 Vol.

1%

Winsome Earle-Sears

$11,035 Vol.

1%

Jason Miyares

$15,190 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Virginia. If no 2026 Virginia Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Virginia Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Retired Army Maj. Gen. Bert Mizusawa holds the leading position in Virginia's August 4 Republican U.S. Senate primary at 48% implied probability, reflecting his top fundraising total above $192,000 and a narrow edge in the most recent Public Sentiment Institute survey of likely voters. The Republican Party of Virginia's recent certification of Mizusawa along with Kim Farington and David Williams has clarified the qualifying field ahead of the contest to challenge incumbent Sen. Mark Warner. Farington's cybersecurity background supports her second-place standing at 30.6%, while David Williams trails at 10.5% amid limited statewide name recognition and undecided rates near 40% in available polling. A pending lawsuit for Chuck Smith and the low single-digit shares for figures such as Jason Miyares and Winsome Earle-Sears highlight the absence of major endorsements or debates that could shift momentum before the primary.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Virginia.

If no 2026 Virginia Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Virginia Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$2,402,695
Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 16, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Nov 26, 2025, 6:59 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Virginia. If no 2026 Virginia Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Virginia Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Virginia. If no 2026 Virginia Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Virginia Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Retired Army Maj. Gen. Bert Mizusawa holds the leading position in Virginia's August 4 Republican U.S. Senate primary at 48% implied probability, reflecting his top fundraising total above $192,000 and a narrow edge in the most recent Public Sentiment Institute survey of likely voters. The Republican Party of Virginia's recent certification of Mizusawa along with Kim Farington and David Williams has clarified the qualifying field ahead of the contest to challenge incumbent Sen. Mark Warner. Farington's cybersecurity background supports her second-place standing at 30.6%, while David Williams trails at 10.5% amid limited statewide name recognition and undecided rates near 40% in available polling. A pending lawsuit for Chuck Smith and the low single-digit shares for figures such as Jason Miyares and Winsome Earle-Sears highlight the absence of major endorsements or debates that could shift momentum before the primary.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Virginia.

If no 2026 Virginia Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Virginia Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$2,402,695
Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 16, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Nov 26, 2025, 6:59 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Virginia. If no 2026 Virginia Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Virginia Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Pemenang Utama Senat Republik Virginia" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 9 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Bert Mizusawa" di 48%, diikuti oleh "Kim Farington" di 31%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 48¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 48% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Pemenang Utama Senat Republik Virginia" telah menghasilkan $2.4 million dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Nov 27, 2025. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Pemenang Utama Senat Republik Virginia," jelajahi 9 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Pemenang Utama Senat Republik Virginia" adalah "Bert Mizusawa" di 48%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 48% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Kim Farington" di 31%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Pemenang Utama Senat Republik Virginia" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.