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WA-03 Primary First Place

icon for WA-03 Primary First Place

WA-03 Primary First Place

John Braun 38%

Brent Hennrich 24%

Troy Rasband 20.8%

Marie Gluesenkamp Perez 20%

Polymarket
BARU

John Braun 38%

Brent Hennrich 24%

Troy Rasband 20.8%

Marie Gluesenkamp Perez 20%

Polymarket
BARU

John Braun

$52 Vol.

38%

Brent Hennrich

$38 Vol.

24%

Troy Rasband

$123 Vol.

21%

Marie Gluesenkamp Perez

$40 Vol.

20%

John Saulie-Rohman

$39 Vol.

3%

Austin Braswell

$16 Vol.

3%

John P. Roco

$45 Vol.

17%

Antony Barran

$16 Vol.

2%

Lawrence Kellogg

$105 Vol.

11%

The non-partisan primary election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate earns the most votes in the WA-03 non-partisan primary election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If no 2026 WA-03 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the State of Washington.In Washington’s 3rd Congressional District nonpartisan top-two primary scheduled for August 4, 2026, trader consensus reflects a tightly contested field with multiple candidates clustered near even odds. Incumbent Marie Gluesenkamp Perez faces vote-splitting pressure from fellow Democrats Brent Hennrich and Austin Braswell, while Republican contenders including state Senate Minority Leader John Braun, Lawrence Kellogg, and John P. Roco compete for the leading GOP spot alongside independents and minor-party entrants. Recent candidate filings closed in May, campaign finance reports highlight Perez’s fundraising edge, and limited polling shows general-election head-to-heads remaining competitive without clarifying primary order. Late endorsements, turnout among swing voters, and any final-week advertising shifts could reorder first-place positioning before ballots close.

The non-partisan primary election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election.

This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate earns the most votes in the WA-03 non-partisan primary election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If no 2026 WA-03 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the State of Washington.
Volume
$473
Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 4, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jul 6, 2026, 6:07 PM ET
The non-partisan primary election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate earns the most votes in the WA-03 non-partisan primary election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If no 2026 WA-03 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the State of Washington.
The non-partisan primary election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate earns the most votes in the WA-03 non-partisan primary election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If no 2026 WA-03 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the State of Washington.In Washington’s 3rd Congressional District nonpartisan top-two primary scheduled for August 4, 2026, trader consensus reflects a tightly contested field with multiple candidates clustered near even odds. Incumbent Marie Gluesenkamp Perez faces vote-splitting pressure from fellow Democrats Brent Hennrich and Austin Braswell, while Republican contenders including state Senate Minority Leader John Braun, Lawrence Kellogg, and John P. Roco compete for the leading GOP spot alongside independents and minor-party entrants. Recent candidate filings closed in May, campaign finance reports highlight Perez’s fundraising edge, and limited polling shows general-election head-to-heads remaining competitive without clarifying primary order. Late endorsements, turnout among swing voters, and any final-week advertising shifts could reorder first-place positioning before ballots close.

The non-partisan primary election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election.

This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate earns the most votes in the WA-03 non-partisan primary election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If no 2026 WA-03 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the State of Washington.
Volume
$473
Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 4, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jul 6, 2026, 6:07 PM ET
The non-partisan primary election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate earns the most votes in the WA-03 non-partisan primary election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If no 2026 WA-03 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the State of Washington.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"WA-03 Primary First Place" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 9 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "John Braun" di 38%, diikuti oleh "Brent Hennrich" di 24%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 38¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 38% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

"WA-03 Primary First Place" adalah pasar yang baru dibuat di Polymarket, diluncurkan pada Jul 6, 2026. Sebagai pasar awal, ini adalah kesempatanmu untuk menjadi salah satu trader pertama yang menetapkan peluang dan membangun sinyal harga awal pasar. Kamu juga bisa menandai halaman ini untuk melacak volume dan aktivitas trading seiring pasar mendapatkan traksi.

Untuk trading di "WA-03 Primary First Place," jelajahi 9 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "WA-03 Primary First Place" adalah "John Braun" di 38%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 38% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Brent Hennrich" di 24%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "WA-03 Primary First Place" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.