Recent US economic data have weighed on the dollar, with July CPI easing to 3.4% year-over-year and core at 2.5%, alongside a surprising -23,000 nonfarm payrolls print and 4.1% unemployment. These figures, combined with FOMC minutes showing divided but largely cautious views on policy, have tempered expectations for near-term rate hikes and reinforced bets on a hold at the September meeting. The federal funds rate remains at 3.50–3.75%, with market pricing reflecting limited tightening odds. Treasury buyback expansions and softer retail sales have added to downside pressure, keeping DXY near 99 amid narrowing yield differentials versus major peers. Key upcoming releases include August core PCE and the September jobs report, which could shift rate path expectations and DXY levels ahead of month-end resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui↑ 102.50
52%
↑ 102.00
50%
↑ 101.50
50%
↑ 101.00
50%
↑ 100.50
50%
↑ 100.00
50%
↑ 99.50
50%
↓ 99.00
50%
↓ 98.50
48%
↓ 98.00
50%
↓ 97.50
50%
↓ 97.00
48%
↓ 96.50
52%
↓ 96.00
50%
$0.00 Vol.
↑ 102.50
52%
↑ 102.00
50%
↑ 101.50
50%
↑ 101.00
50%
↑ 100.50
50%
↑ 100.00
50%
↑ 99.50
50%
↓ 99.00
50%
↓ 98.50
48%
↓ 98.00
50%
↓ 97.50
50%
↓ 97.00
48%
↓ 96.50
52%
↓ 96.00
50%
Trading days will be determined according to the applicable trading-hours schedule as listed on Pyth. Under the standard schedule (time zone America/New_York), trading is open continuously from 5:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with no daily settlement break, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours as listed on Pyth.
Under the standard New York 5:00 PM FX close convention, each trading day begins at 5:00:00 PM ET on the prior calendar day and ends at 5:00:00 PM ET on that calendar day. September 2026 includes all trading days whose calendar date falls within September 2026. E.g., if the final calendar day of the month is a Sunday, the Sunday evening session counts toward the following Monday's trading day and prices published that evening count toward the following month, and the month's final prices are those published up to 5:00:00 PM ET on its final trading day (ordinarily the preceding Friday).
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If the US Dollar Index (DXY) does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
In the event of an index methodology change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth, specifically the US Dollar Index (DXY) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://app.pyth.com/explore/FX.USDXY, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high and low prices published by ICE Futures U.S. for the most actively traded (by open interest) ICE U.S. Dollar Index futures contract (ticker DX) as of the relevant business day may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session. Official daily high and low prices are the values shown in the "High" and "Low" columns of the ICE Futures U.S. "Futures Daily Market Report for US Dollar Index" for the relevant contract month on each relevant trading day. This report may be accessed by selecting "End of Day Report" under the "Reports" tab of the product page at https://www.ice.com/products/194/US-Dollar-Index-Futures.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 25, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://app.pyth.com/explore/FX.USDXYResolver
0x65070BE91...Trading days will be determined according to the applicable trading-hours schedule as listed on Pyth. Under the standard schedule (time zone America/New_York), trading is open continuously from 5:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with no daily settlement break, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours as listed on Pyth.
Under the standard New York 5:00 PM FX close convention, each trading day begins at 5:00:00 PM ET on the prior calendar day and ends at 5:00:00 PM ET on that calendar day. September 2026 includes all trading days whose calendar date falls within September 2026. E.g., if the final calendar day of the month is a Sunday, the Sunday evening session counts toward the following Monday's trading day and prices published that evening count toward the following month, and the month's final prices are those published up to 5:00:00 PM ET on its final trading day (ordinarily the preceding Friday).
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If the US Dollar Index (DXY) does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
In the event of an index methodology change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth, specifically the US Dollar Index (DXY) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://app.pyth.com/explore/FX.USDXY, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high and low prices published by ICE Futures U.S. for the most actively traded (by open interest) ICE U.S. Dollar Index futures contract (ticker DX) as of the relevant business day may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session. Official daily high and low prices are the values shown in the "High" and "Low" columns of the ICE Futures U.S. "Futures Daily Market Report for US Dollar Index" for the relevant contract month on each relevant trading day. This report may be accessed by selecting "End of Day Report" under the "Reports" tab of the product page at https://www.ice.com/products/194/US-Dollar-Index-Futures.
Sumber Resolusi
https://app.pyth.com/explore/FX.USDXYResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent US economic data have weighed on the dollar, with July CPI easing to 3.4% year-over-year and core at 2.5%, alongside a surprising -23,000 nonfarm payrolls print and 4.1% unemployment. These figures, combined with FOMC minutes showing divided but largely cautious views on policy, have tempered expectations for near-term rate hikes and reinforced bets on a hold at the September meeting. The federal funds rate remains at 3.50–3.75%, with market pricing reflecting limited tightening odds. Treasury buyback expansions and softer retail sales have added to downside pressure, keeping DXY near 99 amid narrowing yield differentials versus major peers. Key upcoming releases include August core PCE and the September jobs report, which could shift rate path expectations and DXY levels ahead of month-end resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui


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