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Where will it rain on August 9?

icon for Where will it rain on August 9?

Where will it rain on August 9?

BARU
Aug 10, 2026
Polymarket

$3 Vol.

Polymarket

Singapore

$0 Vol.

51%

Jakarta

$0 Vol.

51%

Mumbai

$0 Vol.

51%

Manila

$0 Vol.

51%

Tokyo

$0 Vol.

51%

Lagos

$0 Vol.

49%

Bangkok

$0 Vol.

50%

Hong Kong

$0 Vol.

50%

Seoul (Incheon)

$0 Vol.

50%

Taipei

$0 Vol.

50%

Colombo

$0 Vol.

49%

Dhaka

$0 Vol.

50%

Kuala Lumpur

$0 Vol.

50%

London

$0 Vol.

49%

Dubai

$3 Vol.

39%

São Paulo

$0 Vol.

49%

Sydney

$0 Vol.

49%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed city records measurable precipitation on August 9. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the Weather Underground station page for the city. A report of trace ("T") does not qualify. Resolution is based on the station's first published precipitation figure for the day. Subsequent revisions or corrections to the published data will not be considered; the first published value is final. If no figure has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to "No".Short-range forecast models from NOAA and international agencies indicate scattered precipitation chances on August 9 driven primarily by monsoon moisture across parts of Asia and South America alongside mid-latitude frontal systems. For Seoul, the East Asian summer monsoon typically sustains elevated rain probabilities in early August, while São Paulo sees lower baseline odds during the Southern Hemisphere dry season unless a passing cold front organizes showers. Traders monitor convective-scale guidance and ensemble precipitation probabilities, which update multiple times daily and can shift sharply with steering flow or instability changes. Resolution depends on official gauge measurements exceeding trace amounts at designated stations.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed city records measurable precipitation on August 9. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the Weather Underground station page for the city.

A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.

Resolution is based on the station's first published precipitation figure for the day. Subsequent revisions or corrections to the published data will not be considered; the first published value is final. If no figure has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to "No".
Volume
$3
Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 10, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Aug 6, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed city records measurable precipitation on August 9. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the Weather Underground station page for the city. A report of trace ("T") does not qualify. Resolution is based on the station's first published precipitation figure for the day. Subsequent revisions or corrections to the published data will not be considered; the first published value is final. If no figure has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed city records measurable precipitation on August 9. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the Weather Underground station page for the city. A report of trace ("T") does not qualify. Resolution is based on the station's first published precipitation figure for the day. Subsequent revisions or corrections to the published data will not be considered; the first published value is final. If no figure has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to "No".Short-range forecast models from NOAA and international agencies indicate scattered precipitation chances on August 9 driven primarily by monsoon moisture across parts of Asia and South America alongside mid-latitude frontal systems. For Seoul, the East Asian summer monsoon typically sustains elevated rain probabilities in early August, while São Paulo sees lower baseline odds during the Southern Hemisphere dry season unless a passing cold front organizes showers. Traders monitor convective-scale guidance and ensemble precipitation probabilities, which update multiple times daily and can shift sharply with steering flow or instability changes. Resolution depends on official gauge measurements exceeding trace amounts at designated stations.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed city records measurable precipitation on August 9. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the Weather Underground station page for the city.

A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.

Resolution is based on the station's first published precipitation figure for the day. Subsequent revisions or corrections to the published data will not be considered; the first published value is final. If no figure has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to "No".
Volume
$3
Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 10, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Aug 6, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed city records measurable precipitation on August 9. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the Weather Underground station page for the city. A report of trace ("T") does not qualify. Resolution is based on the station's first published precipitation figure for the day. Subsequent revisions or corrections to the published data will not be considered; the first published value is final. If no figure has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to "No".

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Where will it rain on August 9?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 17 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Singapore" di 51%, diikuti oleh "Jakarta" di 51%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 51¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 51% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

"Where will it rain on August 9?" adalah pasar yang baru dibuat di Polymarket, diluncurkan pada Aug 6, 2026. Sebagai pasar awal, ini adalah kesempatanmu untuk menjadi salah satu trader pertama yang menetapkan peluang dan membangun sinyal harga awal pasar. Kamu juga bisa menandai halaman ini untuk melacak volume dan aktivitas trading seiring pasar mendapatkan traksi.

Untuk trading di "Where will it rain on August 9?," jelajahi 17 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Where will it rain on August 9?" adalah "Singapore" di 51%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 51% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Jakarta" di 51%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Where will it rain on August 9?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.