Persistent Russian insistence on preconditions—including Ukrainian territorial concessions and a deal signed in Moscow—has driven trader consensus toward no Zelenskyy-Putin meeting before 2027. Kremlin statements in September 2026 rejected proposed encounters at the G20 or neutral venues, while US-mediated trilateral talks scheduled for October remain at lower official levels without confirmed leader attendance. Intensified strikes on energy infrastructure and stalled progress on core issues such as Donbas control reinforce the view that direct diplomacy faces high barriers. A breakthrough in US-brokered negotiations producing a neutral-site summit or sudden de-escalation agreement could still shift probabilities before year-end.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiKremlin rejects Zelenskyy's offer to meet Putin at G20 Miami summit, insists talks must be in Moscow
No meeting before 2027 rises to 93%3%
The Kremlin publicly rejected the idea of Putin meeting Zelenskyy at the G20 summit in Miami, insisting any talks must take place in Moscow, which reinforced market skepticism about a meeting outside Russia and contributed to the decline in probabilities for the US venue and rise in 'No meeting before 2027'.
Kremlin rejects Miami as venue for Zelenskyy-Putin talks, insists on Moscow
The Kremlin officially rejected Zelenskyy's proposal to meet Putin at the G20 summit in Miami, calling it impossible and insisting any talks must be held in Moscow. This stance diminished the likelihood of a meeting outside Russia before 2027.


















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