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Pemilihan Umum·Primer

NY-04 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for NY-04 Democratic Primary Winner
Pemilihan Umum·Primer

NY-04 Democratic Primary Winner

Laura Gillen 86%

Nicholas Sciretta 11%

Taylor Darling 5.4%

Gian Jones <1%

Polymarket

$18,925 Vol.

Laura Gillen 86%

Nicholas Sciretta 11%

Taylor Darling 5.4%

Gian Jones <1%

Polymarket

$18,925 Vol.

Laura Gillen

$6,360 Vol.

86%

Nicholas Sciretta

$8,783 Vol.

11%

Taylor Darling

$2,126 Vol.

5%

Gian Jones

$1,656 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Laura Gillen maintains a commanding lead in the June 23, 2026 Democratic primary for New York’s 4th congressional district, reflecting her substantial fundraising advantage and party establishment backing after crossing party lines in January 2026 on Department of Homeland Security funding that included Immigration and Customs Enforcement appropriations. That vote prompted challenges from former state Assembly member Taylor Darling and lesser-known candidates Nicholas Sciretta and Gian Jones, who positioned themselves as more progressive alternatives on immigration issues. Gillen’s edge stems from over $2 million in receipts and $1.5 million cash on hand compared with each rival’s under $30,000, plus an endorsement from Nassau County Democratic leader Jay Jacobs. With no public polls available and a closed primary favoring low-turnout incumbents, the divided challenger field has reinforced trader consensus around her structural advantages ahead of primary day.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$18,925
Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 23, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Dec 1, 2025, 3:58 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Laura Gillen maintains a commanding lead in the June 23, 2026 Democratic primary for New York’s 4th congressional district, reflecting her substantial fundraising advantage and party establishment backing after crossing party lines in January 2026 on Department of Homeland Security funding that included Immigration and Customs Enforcement appropriations. That vote prompted challenges from former state Assembly member Taylor Darling and lesser-known candidates Nicholas Sciretta and Gian Jones, who positioned themselves as more progressive alternatives on immigration issues. Gillen’s edge stems from over $2 million in receipts and $1.5 million cash on hand compared with each rival’s under $30,000, plus an endorsement from Nassau County Democratic leader Jay Jacobs. With no public polls available and a closed primary favoring low-turnout incumbents, the divided challenger field has reinforced trader consensus around her structural advantages ahead of primary day.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$18,925
Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 23, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Dec 1, 2025, 3:58 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"NY-04 Democratic Primary Winner" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 4 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Laura Gillen" di 86%, diikuti oleh "Nicholas Sciretta" di 11%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 86¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 86% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "NY-04 Democratic Primary Winner" telah menghasilkan $18.9K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Dec 1, 2025. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "NY-04 Democratic Primary Winner," jelajahi 4 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "NY-04 Democratic Primary Winner" adalah "Laura Gillen" di 86%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 86% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Nicholas Sciretta" di 11%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "NY-04 Democratic Primary Winner" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.