Trader consensus prices "No" at 95.5% for Alberta joining the United States, reflecting formidable constitutional barriers under Canada's Clarity Act requiring a clear referendum majority for secession negotiations, alongside U.S. Congressional approval via Article IV for statehood admission—processes with no precedent for foreign provinces. Recent separatist momentum, including a May 5 announcement of sufficient petition signatures for an independence referendum pending legal challenges and Elections Alberta approval, has not shifted odds, as polls through late April show flat support at 18-30%, often as protest against Ottawa rather than commitment to U.S. integration. U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent's January remarks welcoming Alberta as a "natural partner" fueled brief speculation, but absent federal Canadian consent or public buy-in, dramatic shifts would need improbable breakthroughs like a strong Yes vote and bilateral treaty negotiations before year-end.
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Dec 31, 2026
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Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, or if Alberta officially comes under US sovereignty, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Alberta as of February 6, 2026, currently a Canadian province, to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Canada that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, within this market's timeframe, will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. a ratified treaty, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere suggestions, negotiations, or posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Canada, and Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Alberta has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.Trader consensus prices "No" at 95.5% for Alberta joining the United States, reflecting formidable constitutional barriers under Canada's Clarity Act requiring a clear referendum majority for secession negotiations, alongside U.S. Congressional approval via Article IV for statehood admission—processes with no precedent for foreign provinces. Recent separatist momentum, including a May 5 announcement of sufficient petition signatures for an independence referendum pending legal challenges and Elections Alberta approval, has not shifted odds, as polls through late April show flat support at 18-30%, often as protest against Ottawa rather than commitment to U.S. integration. U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent's January remarks welcoming Alberta as a "natural partner" fueled brief speculation, but absent federal Canadian consent or public buy-in, dramatic shifts would need improbable breakthroughs like a strong Yes vote and bilateral treaty negotiations before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, or if Alberta officially comes under US sovereignty, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Alberta as of February 6, 2026, currently a Canadian province, to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Canada that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, within this market's timeframe, will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. a ratified treaty, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere suggestions, negotiations, or posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Canada, and Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Alberta has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Alberta as of February 6, 2026, currently a Canadian province, to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Canada that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, within this market's timeframe, will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. a ratified treaty, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere suggestions, negotiations, or posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Canada, and Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Alberta has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Pasar Dibuka: Feb 6, 2026, 5:03 PM ET
Volume
$6,943Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Feb 6, 2026, 5:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, or if Alberta officially comes under US sovereignty, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Alberta as of February 6, 2026, currently a Canadian province, to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Canada that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, within this market's timeframe, will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. a ratified treaty, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere suggestions, negotiations, or posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Canada, and Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Alberta has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.Trader consensus prices "No" at 95.5% for Alberta joining the United States, reflecting formidable constitutional barriers under Canada's Clarity Act requiring a clear referendum majority for secession negotiations, alongside U.S. Congressional approval via Article IV for statehood admission—processes with no precedent for foreign provinces. Recent separatist momentum, including a May 5 announcement of sufficient petition signatures for an independence referendum pending legal challenges and Elections Alberta approval, has not shifted odds, as polls through late April show flat support at 18-30%, often as protest against Ottawa rather than commitment to U.S. integration. U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent's January remarks welcoming Alberta as a "natural partner" fueled brief speculation, but absent federal Canadian consent or public buy-in, dramatic shifts would need improbable breakthroughs like a strong Yes vote and bilateral treaty negotiations before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, or if Alberta officially comes under US sovereignty, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Alberta as of February 6, 2026, currently a Canadian province, to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Canada that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, within this market's timeframe, will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. a ratified treaty, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere suggestions, negotiations, or posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Canada, and Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Alberta has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Alberta as of February 6, 2026, currently a Canadian province, to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Canada that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, within this market's timeframe, will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. a ratified treaty, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere suggestions, negotiations, or posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Canada, and Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Alberta has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Volume
$6,943Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Feb 6, 2026, 5:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "No" at 95.5% for Alberta joining the United States, reflecting formidable constitutional barriers under Canada's Clarity Act requiring a clear referendum majority for secession negotiations, alongside U.S. Congressional approval via Article IV for statehood admission—processes with no precedent for foreign provinces. Recent separatist momentum, including a May 5 announcement of sufficient petition signatures for an independence referendum pending legal challenges and Elections Alberta approval, has not shifted odds, as polls through late April show flat support at 18-30%, often as protest against Ottawa rather than commitment to U.S. integration. U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent's January remarks welcoming Alberta as a "natural partner" fueled brief speculation, but absent federal Canadian consent or public buy-in, dramatic shifts would need improbable breakthroughs like a strong Yes vote and bilateral treaty negotiations before year-end.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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