The United Arab Emirates' exit from OPEC and OPEC+ effective May 1, 2026, stemmed from long-standing disputes over production quotas and its push to expand output toward 5 million barrels per day amid regional tensions. Remaining members, including Saudi Arabia, Iraq, Kuwait, and Iran, have since reaffirmed coordinated adjustments through OPEC+ meetings in early May without signaling further departures. Potential followers face steeper diplomatic and economic costs tied to quota compliance, spare capacity limits, and alliances, making additional exits before year-end less likely under current market and geopolitical conditions. Trader consensus reflects this pattern of stability post-UAE withdrawal.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiWill another country leave OPEC in 2026?
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?
$92,880 Vol.
$92,880 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
$92,880 Vol.
$92,880 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
On April 28, 2026, the United Arab Emirates officially announced that it would withdraw from OPEC. You can read more about that here: https://www.reuters.com/markets/commodities/uae-says-it-quits-opec-opec-statement-2026-04-28/.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if another OPEC member officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official announcement made by any country that is an OPEC member at the time of market creation and has not already announced its exit will suffice, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.
This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the respective governments; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The United Arab Emirates' exit from OPEC and OPEC+ effective May 1, 2026, stemmed from long-standing disputes over production quotas and its push to expand output toward 5 million barrels per day amid regional tensions. Remaining members, including Saudi Arabia, Iraq, Kuwait, and Iran, have since reaffirmed coordinated adjustments through OPEC+ meetings in early May without signaling further departures. Potential followers face steeper diplomatic and economic costs tied to quota compliance, spare capacity limits, and alliances, making additional exits before year-end less likely under current market and geopolitical conditions. Trader consensus reflects this pattern of stability post-UAE withdrawal.
On April 28, 2026, the United Arab Emirates officially announced that it would withdraw from OPEC. You can read more about that here: https://www.reuters.com/markets/commodities/uae-says-it-quits-opec-opec-statement-2026-04-28/.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if another OPEC member officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official announcement made by any country that is an OPEC member at the time of market creation and has not already announced its exit will suffice, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.
This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the respective governments; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if another OPEC member officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official announcement made by any country that is an OPEC member at the time of market creation and has not already announced its exit will suffice, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.
This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the respective governments; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Pasar Dibuka: Apr 28, 2026, 1:11 PM ET
Volume
$92,880Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Apr 28, 2026, 1:11 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...On April 28, 2026, the United Arab Emirates officially announced that it would withdraw from OPEC. You can read more about that here: https://www.reuters.com/markets/commodities/uae-says-it-quits-opec-opec-statement-2026-04-28/.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if another OPEC member officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official announcement made by any country that is an OPEC member at the time of market creation and has not already announced its exit will suffice, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.
This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the respective governments; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The United Arab Emirates' exit from OPEC and OPEC+ effective May 1, 2026, stemmed from long-standing disputes over production quotas and its push to expand output toward 5 million barrels per day amid regional tensions. Remaining members, including Saudi Arabia, Iraq, Kuwait, and Iran, have since reaffirmed coordinated adjustments through OPEC+ meetings in early May without signaling further departures. Potential followers face steeper diplomatic and economic costs tied to quota compliance, spare capacity limits, and alliances, making additional exits before year-end less likely under current market and geopolitical conditions. Trader consensus reflects this pattern of stability post-UAE withdrawal.
On April 28, 2026, the United Arab Emirates officially announced that it would withdraw from OPEC. You can read more about that here: https://www.reuters.com/markets/commodities/uae-says-it-quits-opec-opec-statement-2026-04-28/.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if another OPEC member officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official announcement made by any country that is an OPEC member at the time of market creation and has not already announced its exit will suffice, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.
This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the respective governments; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if another OPEC member officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official announcement made by any country that is an OPEC member at the time of market creation and has not already announced its exit will suffice, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.
This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the respective governments; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$92,880Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Apr 28, 2026, 1:11 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The United Arab Emirates' exit from OPEC and OPEC+ effective May 1, 2026, stemmed from long-standing disputes over production quotas and its push to expand output toward 5 million barrels per day amid regional tensions. Remaining members, including Saudi Arabia, Iraq, Kuwait, and Iran, have since reaffirmed coordinated adjustments through OPEC+ meetings in early May without signaling further departures. Potential followers face steeper diplomatic and economic costs tied to quota compliance, spare capacity limits, and alliances, making additional exits before year-end less likely under current market and geopolitical conditions. Trader consensus reflects this pattern of stability post-UAE withdrawal.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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