Ongoing US-Iran tensions and cross-border strikes involving Israel and Hezbollah have sustained a Level 4 travel advisory for Lebanon, prompting the State Department’s February 2026 ordered departure of non-emergency personnel and family members from the Beirut embassy. Core diplomatic functions continue under restricted conditions, with embassy staff barred from personal travel without authorization and consular services limited to emergencies. Recent developments include the US ambassador’s September 2026 visit to southern Lebanon to assess post-conflict stabilization and parallel Washington talks between Lebanese and Israeli envoys on framework implementation and troop withdrawals. Upcoming negotiation rounds and any escalation in regional military activity or diplomatic breakdowns could influence whether the reduced footprint expands into a fuller evacuation or closure.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiU.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by...?
U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by...?
$119,425 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
December 31
7%
$119,425 Vol.
December 31
$25,323 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. Ongoing US-Iran tensions and cross-border strikes involving Israel and Hezbollah have sustained a Level 4 travel advisory for Lebanon, prompting the State Department’s February 2026 ordered departure of non-emergency personnel and family members from the Beirut embassy. Core diplomatic functions continue under restricted conditions, with embassy staff barred from personal travel without authorization and consular services limited to emergencies. Recent developments include the US ambassador’s September 2026 visit to southern Lebanon to assess post-conflict stabilization and parallel Washington talks between Lebanese and Israeli envoys on framework implementation and troop withdrawals. Upcoming negotiation rounds and any escalation in regional military activity or diplomatic breakdowns could influence whether the reduced footprint expands into a fuller evacuation or closure.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
Pasar Dibuka: Jun 30, 2026, 5:10 PM ET
Volume
$119,425Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 1, 2027Pasar Dibuka
Jun 30, 2026, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. Ongoing US-Iran tensions and cross-border strikes involving Israel and Hezbollah have sustained a Level 4 travel advisory for Lebanon, prompting the State Department’s February 2026 ordered departure of non-emergency personnel and family members from the Beirut embassy. Core diplomatic functions continue under restricted conditions, with embassy staff barred from personal travel without authorization and consular services limited to emergencies. Recent developments include the US ambassador’s September 2026 visit to southern Lebanon to assess post-conflict stabilization and parallel Washington talks between Lebanese and Israeli envoys on framework implementation and troop withdrawals. Upcoming negotiation rounds and any escalation in regional military activity or diplomatic breakdowns could influence whether the reduced footprint expands into a fuller evacuation or closure.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
Volume
$119,425Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 1, 2027Pasar Dibuka
Jun 30, 2026, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing US-Iran tensions and cross-border strikes involving Israel and Hezbollah have sustained a Level 4 travel advisory for Lebanon, prompting the State Department’s February 2026 ordered departure of non-emergency personnel and family members from the Beirut embassy. Core diplomatic functions continue under restricted conditions, with embassy staff barred from personal travel without authorization and consular services limited to emergencies. Recent developments include the US ambassador’s September 2026 visit to southern Lebanon to assess post-conflict stabilization and parallel Washington talks between Lebanese and Israeli envoys on framework implementation and troop withdrawals. Upcoming negotiation rounds and any escalation in regional military activity or diplomatic breakdowns could influence whether the reduced footprint expands into a fuller evacuation or closure.
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