Recent U.S. Embassy Beirut security alerts, including the September 19, 2026 notice citing Middle East tensions and risks of rapid escalation, flight disruptions, or airspace closures, underscore ongoing caution without ordering a full drawdown. The embassy continues routine operations with essential staff after the February 2026 ordered departure of non-emergency personnel and families amid Iran-related concerns, while maintaining a Level 4 “Do Not Travel” advisory for Lebanon due to armed conflict, terrorism, and unrest risks. Trader focus centers on whether further diplomatic reductions or citizen-assisted departures would follow any intensification of regional hostilities involving Iran-backed groups, Hezbollah, or Israeli actions, alongside scheduled diplomatic assessments and military posture shifts that could alter the security environment before year-end deadlines.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiU.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by...?
U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by...?
$119,473 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
December 31
6%
$119,473 Vol.
December 31
$25,371 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. Recent U.S. Embassy Beirut security alerts, including the September 19, 2026 notice citing Middle East tensions and risks of rapid escalation, flight disruptions, or airspace closures, underscore ongoing caution without ordering a full drawdown. The embassy continues routine operations with essential staff after the February 2026 ordered departure of non-emergency personnel and families amid Iran-related concerns, while maintaining a Level 4 “Do Not Travel” advisory for Lebanon due to armed conflict, terrorism, and unrest risks. Trader focus centers on whether further diplomatic reductions or citizen-assisted departures would follow any intensification of regional hostilities involving Iran-backed groups, Hezbollah, or Israeli actions, alongside scheduled diplomatic assessments and military posture shifts that could alter the security environment before year-end deadlines.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
Pasar Dibuka: Jun 30, 2026, 5:10 PM ET
Volume
$119,473Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 1, 2027Pasar Dibuka
Jun 30, 2026, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. Recent U.S. Embassy Beirut security alerts, including the September 19, 2026 notice citing Middle East tensions and risks of rapid escalation, flight disruptions, or airspace closures, underscore ongoing caution without ordering a full drawdown. The embassy continues routine operations with essential staff after the February 2026 ordered departure of non-emergency personnel and families amid Iran-related concerns, while maintaining a Level 4 “Do Not Travel” advisory for Lebanon due to armed conflict, terrorism, and unrest risks. Trader focus centers on whether further diplomatic reductions or citizen-assisted departures would follow any intensification of regional hostilities involving Iran-backed groups, Hezbollah, or Israeli actions, alongside scheduled diplomatic assessments and military posture shifts that could alter the security environment before year-end deadlines.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
Volume
$119,473Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 1, 2027Pasar Dibuka
Jun 30, 2026, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent U.S. Embassy Beirut security alerts, including the September 19, 2026 notice citing Middle East tensions and risks of rapid escalation, flight disruptions, or airspace closures, underscore ongoing caution without ordering a full drawdown. The embassy continues routine operations with essential staff after the February 2026 ordered departure of non-emergency personnel and families amid Iran-related concerns, while maintaining a Level 4 “Do Not Travel” advisory for Lebanon due to armed conflict, terrorism, and unrest risks. Trader focus centers on whether further diplomatic reductions or citizen-assisted departures would follow any intensification of regional hostilities involving Iran-backed groups, Hezbollah, or Israeli actions, alongside scheduled diplomatic assessments and military posture shifts that could alter the security environment before year-end deadlines.
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