Colombia’s first-round presidential vote on May 31 uses a two-round system that requires any candidate to secure more than 50 percent to win outright and avoid a June 21 runoff. Recent national surveys show the leading contender, Iván Cepeda of the left, polling between 35 and 44 percent, with right-wing candidate Abelardo de la Espriella at roughly 21 percent and center-right contender Paloma Valencia near 20 percent. The remaining field is fragmented among centrist and independent figures, none of whom approach the constitutional threshold. This distribution has remained stable in the final weeks before the election, leaving traders with little basis to expect an outright majority.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiWill any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?
$47,000 Vol.
$47,000 Vol.
May 31, 2026
$47,000 Vol.
$47,000 Vol.
May 31, 2026
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate wins this election in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the result of the first round of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Colombia’s first-round presidential vote on May 31 uses a two-round system that requires any candidate to secure more than 50 percent to win outright and avoid a June 21 runoff. Recent national surveys show the leading contender, Iván Cepeda of the left, polling between 35 and 44 percent, with right-wing candidate Abelardo de la Espriella at roughly 21 percent and center-right contender Paloma Valencia near 20 percent. The remaining field is fragmented among centrist and independent figures, none of whom approach the constitutional threshold. This distribution has remained stable in the final weeks before the election, leaving traders with little basis to expect an outright majority.
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate wins this election in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the result of the first round of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate wins this election in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the result of the first round of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 29, 2025, 1:08 PM ET
Volume
$47,000Tanggal Berakhir
May 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 29, 2025, 1:08 PM ETResolver
0x157Ce2d67...Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate wins this election in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the result of the first round of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Colombia’s first-round presidential vote on May 31 uses a two-round system that requires any candidate to secure more than 50 percent to win outright and avoid a June 21 runoff. Recent national surveys show the leading contender, Iván Cepeda of the left, polling between 35 and 44 percent, with right-wing candidate Abelardo de la Espriella at roughly 21 percent and center-right contender Paloma Valencia near 20 percent. The remaining field is fragmented among centrist and independent figures, none of whom approach the constitutional threshold. This distribution has remained stable in the final weeks before the election, leaving traders with little basis to expect an outright majority.
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate wins this election in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the result of the first round of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate wins this election in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the result of the first round of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Volume
$47,000Tanggal Berakhir
May 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 29, 2025, 1:08 PM ETResolver
0x157Ce2d67...Colombia’s first-round presidential vote on May 31 uses a two-round system that requires any candidate to secure more than 50 percent to win outright and avoid a June 21 runoff. Recent national surveys show the leading contender, Iván Cepeda of the left, polling between 35 and 44 percent, with right-wing candidate Abelardo de la Espriella at roughly 21 percent and center-right contender Paloma Valencia near 20 percent. The remaining field is fragmented among centrist and independent figures, none of whom approach the constitutional threshold. This distribution has remained stable in the final weeks before the election, leaving traders with little basis to expect an outright majority.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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