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Politik·Congress

Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by...?

icon for Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by...?
Politik·Congress

Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by...?

$35,563 Vol.

May 31, 2026
Polymarket

$35,563 Vol.

Polymarket

May 15

$5,110 Vol.

<1%

May 22

$23,403 Vol.

71%

May 31

$7,050 Vol.

85%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a reconciliation bill by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Senate Judiciary and Homeland Security committees released a $72 billion reconciliation package on May 4, directing most funds to Immigration and Customs Enforcement ($38.2 billion), Customs and Border Protection, and Department of Homeland Security operations amid partial government shutdown pressures on border security. This follows the Senate's 50-48 approval of the FY2026 budget resolution (S.Con.Res. 33) on April 23, unlocking the fast-track process that requires only a simple majority, bypassing filibuster. Lawmakers returned from recess this week for committee advancement, with markups expected soon and a floor vote possible before May 31. GOP unity remains key, as prior defections from Sens. Paul and Murkowski highlight risks, while Democrats oppose but lack procedural leverage.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a reconciliation bill by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$35,563
Tanggal Berakhir
May 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
May 4, 2026, 7:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a reconciliation bill by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a reconciliation bill by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Senate Judiciary and Homeland Security committees released a $72 billion reconciliation package on May 4, directing most funds to Immigration and Customs Enforcement ($38.2 billion), Customs and Border Protection, and Department of Homeland Security operations amid partial government shutdown pressures on border security. This follows the Senate's 50-48 approval of the FY2026 budget resolution (S.Con.Res. 33) on April 23, unlocking the fast-track process that requires only a simple majority, bypassing filibuster. Lawmakers returned from recess this week for committee advancement, with markups expected soon and a floor vote possible before May 31. GOP unity remains key, as prior defections from Sens. Paul and Murkowski highlight risks, while Democrats oppose but lack procedural leverage.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a reconciliation bill by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$35,563
Tanggal Berakhir
May 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
May 4, 2026, 7:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a reconciliation bill by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by...?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 3 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "May 31" di 85%, diikuti oleh "May 22" di 71%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 85¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 85% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by...?" telah menghasilkan $35.6K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada May 4, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by...?," jelajahi 3 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by...?" adalah "May 31" di 85%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 85% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "May 22" di 71%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by...?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.