President Trump issued an executive order in March 2025 directing steps to close the Department of Education and return authority to states, followed by staff reductions, program transfers to other agencies, and recent moves to shift special education and civil rights oversight. Full statutory elimination, however, requires congressional legislation to repeal the department’s authorizing statute and reallocate its functions, including student aid and grant programs. With the current Senate composition, any such measure would likely face a filibuster requiring 60 votes, and no bill advancing complete abolition has advanced. These procedural and political hurdles explain why traders assign a 92% implied probability that the department will remain intact through 2026.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui$11,928 Vol.
$11,928 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
$11,928 Vol.
$11,928 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Department of Education ceases operations entirely, including the termination of all federal educational programs managed by the department, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the US Department of Education is merged with another agency, resulting in a consolidated department with a shared administrative structure which is no longer titled the Department of Education it will count as a "Yes" resolution.
If it becomes impossible for Trump to sign legislation/perform executive actions (e.g. he resigns), this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.President Trump issued an executive order in March 2025 directing steps to close the Department of Education and return authority to states, followed by staff reductions, program transfers to other agencies, and recent moves to shift special education and civil rights oversight. Full statutory elimination, however, requires congressional legislation to repeal the department’s authorizing statute and reallocate its functions, including student aid and grant programs. With the current Senate composition, any such measure would likely face a filibuster requiring 60 votes, and no bill advancing complete abolition has advanced. These procedural and political hurdles explain why traders assign a 92% implied probability that the department will remain intact through 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Department of Education ceases operations entirely, including the termination of all federal educational programs managed by the department, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the US Department of Education is merged with another agency, resulting in a consolidated department with a shared administrative structure which is no longer titled the Department of Education it will count as a "Yes" resolution.
If it becomes impossible for Trump to sign legislation/perform executive actions (e.g. he resigns), this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If the US Department of Education is merged with another agency, resulting in a consolidated department with a shared administrative structure which is no longer titled the Department of Education it will count as a "Yes" resolution.
If it becomes impossible for Trump to sign legislation/perform executive actions (e.g. he resigns), this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Pasar Dibuka: Nov 19, 2025, 3:24 PM ET
Volume
$11,928Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Nov 19, 2025, 3:24 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Department of Education ceases operations entirely, including the termination of all federal educational programs managed by the department, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the US Department of Education is merged with another agency, resulting in a consolidated department with a shared administrative structure which is no longer titled the Department of Education it will count as a "Yes" resolution.
If it becomes impossible for Trump to sign legislation/perform executive actions (e.g. he resigns), this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.President Trump issued an executive order in March 2025 directing steps to close the Department of Education and return authority to states, followed by staff reductions, program transfers to other agencies, and recent moves to shift special education and civil rights oversight. Full statutory elimination, however, requires congressional legislation to repeal the department’s authorizing statute and reallocate its functions, including student aid and grant programs. With the current Senate composition, any such measure would likely face a filibuster requiring 60 votes, and no bill advancing complete abolition has advanced. These procedural and political hurdles explain why traders assign a 92% implied probability that the department will remain intact through 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Department of Education ceases operations entirely, including the termination of all federal educational programs managed by the department, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the US Department of Education is merged with another agency, resulting in a consolidated department with a shared administrative structure which is no longer titled the Department of Education it will count as a "Yes" resolution.
If it becomes impossible for Trump to sign legislation/perform executive actions (e.g. he resigns), this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If the US Department of Education is merged with another agency, resulting in a consolidated department with a shared administrative structure which is no longer titled the Department of Education it will count as a "Yes" resolution.
If it becomes impossible for Trump to sign legislation/perform executive actions (e.g. he resigns), this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$11,928Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Nov 19, 2025, 3:24 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump issued an executive order in March 2025 directing steps to close the Department of Education and return authority to states, followed by staff reductions, program transfers to other agencies, and recent moves to shift special education and civil rights oversight. Full statutory elimination, however, requires congressional legislation to repeal the department’s authorizing statute and reallocate its functions, including student aid and grant programs. With the current Senate composition, any such measure would likely face a filibuster requiring 60 votes, and no bill advancing complete abolition has advanced. These procedural and political hurdles explain why traders assign a 92% implied probability that the department will remain intact through 2026.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan