**Ukrainian forces are conducting an active counteroffensive in the Lyman sector of Donetsk Oblast, targeting remaining Russian positions around Kolodiazi (also spelled Kolodyaziv or Колодязі).** As of early September 2026, Ukrainian units, including elements of the 3rd Army Corps, have cut off a Russian salient north of Lyman and reclaimed more than 200 square kilometers, marking one of the more notable Ukrainian advances of the year. Russian troops retain some presence west of the village, with ongoing infantry assaults, infiltration attempts, and flanking maneuvers reported as Ukrainian forces seek to establish fuller control. The village has been a focal point of Russian efforts to bypass or seize Lyman and press toward Sloviansk, involving glide bombs, artillery, and drones amid heavy fighting. Ukrainian statements emphasize repelling these probes while clearing pockets, though independent mapping indicates the situation remains fluid with partial contested areas. Resolution of related prediction markets would hinge on confirmed Ukrainian re-entry or consolidation of positions before any specified deadline, amid broader Donbas operations where both sides continue localized attacks and counterattacks.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiWill Ukraine re-enter Kolodiazi by...?
Will Ukraine re-enter Kolodiazi by...?
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Oct 31, 2026
October 31
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December 31
83%
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October 31
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December 31
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83%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Ukraine captures any territory of Kolodiazi, Donetsk Oblast, (49.085881° N, 37.886668° E) between market creation and the specified date (ET).
Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Ukrainian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Reported Ukrainian Territorial Gains in the Past 24 Hours", or “Claimed Ukrainian Counteroffensives” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Ukraine comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded blue in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Ukraine de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.**Ukrainian forces are conducting an active counteroffensive in the Lyman sector of Donetsk Oblast, targeting remaining Russian positions around Kolodiazi (also spelled Kolodyaziv or Колодязі).** As of early September 2026, Ukrainian units, including elements of the 3rd Army Corps, have cut off a Russian salient north of Lyman and reclaimed more than 200 square kilometers, marking one of the more notable Ukrainian advances of the year. Russian troops retain some presence west of the village, with ongoing infantry assaults, infiltration attempts, and flanking maneuvers reported as Ukrainian forces seek to establish fuller control.
The village has been a focal point of Russian efforts to bypass or seize Lyman and press toward Sloviansk, involving glide bombs, artillery, and drones amid heavy fighting. Ukrainian statements emphasize repelling these probes while clearing pockets, though independent mapping indicates the situation remains fluid with partial contested areas. Resolution of related prediction markets would hinge on confirmed Ukrainian re-entry or consolidation of positions before any specified deadline, amid broader Donbas operations where both sides continue localized attacks and counterattacks.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Ukraine captures any territory of Kolodiazi, Donetsk Oblast, (49.085881° N, 37.886668° E) between market creation and the specified date (ET).
Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Ukrainian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Reported Ukrainian Territorial Gains in the Past 24 Hours", or “Claimed Ukrainian Counteroffensives” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Ukraine comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded blue in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Ukraine de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Ukrainian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Reported Ukrainian Territorial Gains in the Past 24 Hours", or “Claimed Ukrainian Counteroffensives” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Ukraine comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded blue in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Ukraine de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 7, 2026, 10:39 PM ET
Volume
$7,424Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 1, 2027Pasar Dibuka
Sep 7, 2026, 10:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Ukraine captures any territory of Kolodiazi, Donetsk Oblast, (49.085881° N, 37.886668° E) between market creation and the specified date (ET).
Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Ukrainian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Reported Ukrainian Territorial Gains in the Past 24 Hours", or “Claimed Ukrainian Counteroffensives” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Ukraine comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded blue in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Ukraine de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.**Ukrainian forces are conducting an active counteroffensive in the Lyman sector of Donetsk Oblast, targeting remaining Russian positions around Kolodiazi (also spelled Kolodyaziv or Колодязі).** As of early September 2026, Ukrainian units, including elements of the 3rd Army Corps, have cut off a Russian salient north of Lyman and reclaimed more than 200 square kilometers, marking one of the more notable Ukrainian advances of the year. Russian troops retain some presence west of the village, with ongoing infantry assaults, infiltration attempts, and flanking maneuvers reported as Ukrainian forces seek to establish fuller control.
The village has been a focal point of Russian efforts to bypass or seize Lyman and press toward Sloviansk, involving glide bombs, artillery, and drones amid heavy fighting. Ukrainian statements emphasize repelling these probes while clearing pockets, though independent mapping indicates the situation remains fluid with partial contested areas. Resolution of related prediction markets would hinge on confirmed Ukrainian re-entry or consolidation of positions before any specified deadline, amid broader Donbas operations where both sides continue localized attacks and counterattacks.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Ukraine captures any territory of Kolodiazi, Donetsk Oblast, (49.085881° N, 37.886668° E) between market creation and the specified date (ET).
Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Ukrainian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Reported Ukrainian Territorial Gains in the Past 24 Hours", or “Claimed Ukrainian Counteroffensives” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Ukraine comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded blue in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Ukraine de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Ukrainian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Reported Ukrainian Territorial Gains in the Past 24 Hours", or “Claimed Ukrainian Counteroffensives” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Ukraine comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded blue in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Ukraine de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Volume
$7,424Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 1, 2027Pasar Dibuka
Sep 7, 2026, 10:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Ukrainian forces are conducting an active counteroffensive in the Lyman sector of Donetsk Oblast, targeting remaining Russian positions around Kolodiazi (also spelled Kolodyaziv or Колодязі).** As of early September 2026, Ukrainian units, including elements of the 3rd Army Corps, have cut off a Russian salient north of Lyman and reclaimed more than 200 square kilometers, marking one of the more notable Ukrainian advances of the year. Russian troops retain some presence west of the village, with ongoing infantry assaults, infiltration attempts, and flanking maneuvers reported as Ukrainian forces seek to establish fuller control. The village has been a focal point of Russian efforts to bypass or seize Lyman and press toward Sloviansk, involving glide bombs, artillery, and drones amid heavy fighting. Ukrainian statements emphasize repelling these probes while clearing pockets, though independent mapping indicates the situation remains fluid with partial contested areas. Resolution of related prediction markets would hinge on confirmed Ukrainian re-entry or consolidation of positions before any specified deadline, amid broader Donbas operations where both sides continue localized attacks and counterattacks.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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