Alabama's solidly Republican electorate, where the party has dominated recent statewide contests including a 30-point presidential margin in 2024, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 94.5%. The June 2026 Republican primary runoff produced a clear winner in Representative Barry Moore, backed by a presidential endorsement and prevailing over challengers in a state with no Democratic Senate success since 2017. Limited general-election polling shows double-digit leads for Moore over Democratic nominee Everett Wess. The open seat, created by the incumbent's gubernatorial bid, has not altered the structural partisan advantage. Scenarios that could realistically shift odds remain low-probability, such as significant late-campaign developments including candidate health events or major national political realignments altering turnout patterns.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$12,163 Vol.
$12,163 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Republican
95%
Democrat
5%
$12,163 Vol.
$12,163 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Republican
$6,592 Vol.
95%
Democrat
$5,571 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alabama U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Alabama's solidly Republican electorate, where the party has dominated recent statewide contests including a 30-point presidential margin in 2024, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 94.5%. The June 2026 Republican primary runoff produced a clear winner in Representative Barry Moore, backed by a presidential endorsement and prevailing over challengers in a state with no Democratic Senate success since 2017. Limited general-election polling shows double-digit leads for Moore over Democratic nominee Everett Wess. The open seat, created by the incumbent's gubernatorial bid, has not altered the structural partisan advantage. Scenarios that could realistically shift odds remain low-probability, such as significant late-campaign developments including candidate health events or major national political realignments altering turnout patterns.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alabama U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercato aperto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ET
Volume
$12,163Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alabama U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Alabama's solidly Republican electorate, where the party has dominated recent statewide contests including a 30-point presidential margin in 2024, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 94.5%. The June 2026 Republican primary runoff produced a clear winner in Representative Barry Moore, backed by a presidential endorsement and prevailing over challengers in a state with no Democratic Senate success since 2017. Limited general-election polling shows double-digit leads for Moore over Democratic nominee Everett Wess. The open seat, created by the incumbent's gubernatorial bid, has not altered the structural partisan advantage. Scenarios that could realistically shift odds remain low-probability, such as significant late-campaign developments including candidate health events or major national political realignments altering turnout patterns.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alabama U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$12,163Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Alabama's solidly Republican electorate, where the party has dominated recent statewide contests including a 30-point presidential margin in 2024, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 94.5%. The June 2026 Republican primary runoff produced a clear winner in Representative Barry Moore, backed by a presidential endorsement and prevailing over challengers in a state with no Democratic Senate success since 2017. Limited general-election polling shows double-digit leads for Moore over Democratic nominee Everett Wess. The open seat, created by the incumbent's gubernatorial bid, has not altered the structural partisan advantage. Scenarios that could realistically shift odds remain low-probability, such as significant late-campaign developments including candidate health events or major national political realignments altering turnout patterns.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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