Alabama's status as a solidly Republican state, where the party has won every U.S. Senate race since 1996 and carried presidential contests by double-digit margins, underpins the strong trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. The seat opened when incumbent Tommy Tuberville opted to run for governor, leading to Republican primary and runoff victories by Rep. Barry Moore, who secured Donald Trump's endorsement. Democrat Everett Wess won his party's nomination but faces structural headwinds in a state with limited Democratic statewide success. Recent general election polling shows Moore ahead by double digits, consistent with historical partisan baselines. While a late scandal, health issue, or national wave could theoretically narrow the race, Alabama's electoral patterns and candidate positioning make a Democratic win highly improbable under current conditions.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$12,205 Vol.
$12,205 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Republican
95%
Democrat
5%
$12,205 Vol.
$12,205 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Republican
$6,634 Vol.
95%
Democrat
$5,571 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alabama U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Alabama's status as a solidly Republican state, where the party has won every U.S. Senate race since 1996 and carried presidential contests by double-digit margins, underpins the strong trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. The seat opened when incumbent Tommy Tuberville opted to run for governor, leading to Republican primary and runoff victories by Rep. Barry Moore, who secured Donald Trump's endorsement. Democrat Everett Wess won his party's nomination but faces structural headwinds in a state with limited Democratic statewide success. Recent general election polling shows Moore ahead by double digits, consistent with historical partisan baselines. While a late scandal, health issue, or national wave could theoretically narrow the race, Alabama's electoral patterns and candidate positioning make a Democratic win highly improbable under current conditions.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alabama U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercato aperto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ET
Volume
$12,205Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alabama U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Alabama's status as a solidly Republican state, where the party has won every U.S. Senate race since 1996 and carried presidential contests by double-digit margins, underpins the strong trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. The seat opened when incumbent Tommy Tuberville opted to run for governor, leading to Republican primary and runoff victories by Rep. Barry Moore, who secured Donald Trump's endorsement. Democrat Everett Wess won his party's nomination but faces structural headwinds in a state with limited Democratic statewide success. Recent general election polling shows Moore ahead by double digits, consistent with historical partisan baselines. While a late scandal, health issue, or national wave could theoretically narrow the race, Alabama's electoral patterns and candidate positioning make a Democratic win highly improbable under current conditions.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alabama U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$12,205Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Alabama's status as a solidly Republican state, where the party has won every U.S. Senate race since 1996 and carried presidential contests by double-digit margins, underpins the strong trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. The seat opened when incumbent Tommy Tuberville opted to run for governor, leading to Republican primary and runoff victories by Rep. Barry Moore, who secured Donald Trump's endorsement. Democrat Everett Wess won his party's nomination but faces structural headwinds in a state with limited Democratic statewide success. Recent general election polling shows Moore ahead by double digits, consistent with historical partisan baselines. While a late scandal, health issue, or national wave could theoretically narrow the race, Alabama's electoral patterns and candidate positioning make a Democratic win highly improbable under current conditions.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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