Alabama's solidly Republican electorate and the open Senate seat created by incumbent Tommy Tuberville's decision to run for governor instead have positioned the eventual Republican nominee as the clear favorite for the November 2026 general election. With the GOP primary set for May 19, recent polling shows a competitive three-way race among Representative Barry Moore, who received President Trump's endorsement, Attorney General Steve Marshall, and Jared Hudson, though high undecided numbers persist. All major forecasters rate the general election as safe or solid Republican, reflecting the state's consistent partisan patterns and limited Democratic infrastructure. A Republican victory could only face realistic challenge from an unforeseen primary upset or major late scandal, neither of which current indicators support.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$10,160 Vol.
$10,160 Vol.

Republican
94%

Democrat
6%
$10,160 Vol.
$10,160 Vol.

Republican
94%

Democrat
6%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercato aperto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Alabama's solidly Republican electorate and the open Senate seat created by incumbent Tommy Tuberville's decision to run for governor instead have positioned the eventual Republican nominee as the clear favorite for the November 2026 general election. With the GOP primary set for May 19, recent polling shows a competitive three-way race among Representative Barry Moore, who received President Trump's endorsement, Attorney General Steve Marshall, and Jared Hudson, though high undecided numbers persist. All major forecasters rate the general election as safe or solid Republican, reflecting the state's consistent partisan patterns and limited Democratic infrastructure. A Republican victory could only face realistic challenge from an unforeseen primary upset or major late scandal, neither of which current indicators support.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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