Trader consensus prices Democratic Party victory at 89.5% in California's 28th Congressional District House race, driven by the district's D+15 Cook Partisan Voter Index and incumbent Judy Chu's established dominance, with 64.9% in the 2024 general election. Chu faces Democratic challenger Peter Roybal and Republican April Verlato—who lost to her 65-35 last cycle—in the June 2 top-two primary, where advancement of two Democrats remains possible given historical GOP underperformance below 35%. Uniform Solid Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball reinforce the low Republican path to victory absent major shifts like scandal or turnout surges. No significant developments have altered this positioning in recent weeks.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVincitore delle elezioni della Camera CA-28
Vincitore delle elezioni della Camera CA-28
$89,254 Vol.
$89,254 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partito Democratico
90%
Partito Repubblicano
10%
$89,254 Vol.
$89,254 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partito Democratico
$41,330 Vol.
90%
Partito Repubblicano
$47,923 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus prices Democratic Party victory at 89.5% in California's 28th Congressional District House race, driven by the district's D+15 Cook Partisan Voter Index and incumbent Judy Chu's established dominance, with 64.9% in the 2024 general election. Chu faces Democratic challenger Peter Roybal and Republican April Verlato—who lost to her 65-35 last cycle—in the June 2 top-two primary, where advancement of two Democrats remains possible given historical GOP underperformance below 35%. Uniform Solid Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball reinforce the low Republican path to victory absent major shifts like scandal or turnout surges. No significant developments have altered this positioning in recent weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
Volume
$89,254Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus prices Democratic Party victory at 89.5% in California's 28th Congressional District House race, driven by the district's D+15 Cook Partisan Voter Index and incumbent Judy Chu's established dominance, with 64.9% in the 2024 general election. Chu faces Democratic challenger Peter Roybal and Republican April Verlato—who lost to her 65-35 last cycle—in the June 2 top-two primary, where advancement of two Democrats remains possible given historical GOP underperformance below 35%. Uniform Solid Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball reinforce the low Republican path to victory absent major shifts like scandal or turnout surges. No significant developments have altered this positioning in recent weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$89,254Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices Democratic Party victory at 89.5% in California's 28th Congressional District House race, driven by the district's D+15 Cook Partisan Voter Index and incumbent Judy Chu's established dominance, with 64.9% in the 2024 general election. Chu faces Democratic challenger Peter Roybal and Republican April Verlato—who lost to her 65-35 last cycle—in the June 2 top-two primary, where advancement of two Democrats remains possible given historical GOP underperformance below 35%. Uniform Solid Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball reinforce the low Republican path to victory absent major shifts like scandal or turnout surges. No significant developments have altered this positioning in recent weeks.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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