Redistricting following a Supreme Court decision shifted Louisiana's 6th Congressional District toward a Republican-leaning profile with a Cook Partisan Voting Index around R+16, prompting Democratic incumbent Cleo Fields to withdraw and pursue a state senate bid instead. Multiple Republican candidates, including state senators Rick Edmonds and Blake Miguez, have qualified alongside several Democrats, creating a crowded primary on November 3 that will feed into the December 12 general election. Trader consensus at 93.5% for the Republican nominee reflects the district's new composition and open-seat dynamics, though a late surge by a unified Democratic field or unexpected turnout shifts in East Baton Rouge and surrounding parishes could still narrow the gap.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLA-06 House Election Winner
LA-06 House Election Winner
$65,492 Vol.
$65,492 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Republican Party
94%
Democratic Party
8%
$65,492 Vol.
$65,492 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Republican Party
$36,074 Vol.
94%
Democratic Party
$29,418 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting following a Supreme Court decision shifted Louisiana's 6th Congressional District toward a Republican-leaning profile with a Cook Partisan Voting Index around R+16, prompting Democratic incumbent Cleo Fields to withdraw and pursue a state senate bid instead. Multiple Republican candidates, including state senators Rick Edmonds and Blake Miguez, have qualified alongside several Democrats, creating a crowded primary on November 3 that will feed into the December 12 general election. Trader consensus at 93.5% for the Republican nominee reflects the district's new composition and open-seat dynamics, though a late surge by a unified Democratic field or unexpected turnout shifts in East Baton Rouge and surrounding parishes could still narrow the gap.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$65,492Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting following a Supreme Court decision shifted Louisiana's 6th Congressional District toward a Republican-leaning profile with a Cook Partisan Voting Index around R+16, prompting Democratic incumbent Cleo Fields to withdraw and pursue a state senate bid instead. Multiple Republican candidates, including state senators Rick Edmonds and Blake Miguez, have qualified alongside several Democrats, creating a crowded primary on November 3 that will feed into the December 12 general election. Trader consensus at 93.5% for the Republican nominee reflects the district's new composition and open-seat dynamics, though a late surge by a unified Democratic field or unexpected turnout shifts in East Baton Rouge and surrounding parishes could still narrow the gap.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$65,492Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Redistricting following a Supreme Court decision shifted Louisiana's 6th Congressional District toward a Republican-leaning profile with a Cook Partisan Voting Index around R+16, prompting Democratic incumbent Cleo Fields to withdraw and pursue a state senate bid instead. Multiple Republican candidates, including state senators Rick Edmonds and Blake Miguez, have qualified alongside several Democrats, creating a crowded primary on November 3 that will feed into the December 12 general election. Trader consensus at 93.5% for the Republican nominee reflects the district's new composition and open-seat dynamics, though a late surge by a unified Democratic field or unexpected turnout shifts in East Baton Rouge and surrounding parishes could still narrow the gap.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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