Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Cerebras Systems' IPO closing market cap in the $60B–$70B range at 45% implied probability, reflecting expectations of a significant first-day trading pop beyond the upped $150–$160 per share pricing range that implies up to $48.8 billion fully diluted valuation on 30 million shares offered. Surging demand exceeding 20x supply, fueled by 76% revenue growth to $290 million in 2025, GAAP profitability, and a multi-year OpenAI deal exceeding $10 billion for 750 MW compute capacity, has driven this positioning. February's $1 billion Series H at $23 billion post-money valuation highlights rapid appreciation amid AI infrastructure frenzy. Nasdaq debut on May 13–14 remains the key resolution catalyst, with AWS hyperscaler partnership signals adding upside potential.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato60–70 miliardi di dollari 46%
70-80 miliardi di dollari 18%
$50B–$60B 16%
80–90 miliardi di dollari 11.4%
$85,293 Vol.
$85,293 Vol.
<50 miliardi di dollari
7%
$50B–$60B
16%
60–70 miliardi di dollari
46%
70-80 miliardi di dollari
18%
80–90 miliardi di dollari
11%
90–100 miliardi di dollari
8%
Oltre 100 miliardi di dollari
4%
Nessuna IPO prima di luglio 2026
<1%
60–70 miliardi di dollari 46%
70-80 miliardi di dollari 18%
$50B–$60B 16%
80–90 miliardi di dollari 11.4%
$85,293 Vol.
$85,293 Vol.
<50 miliardi di dollari
7%
$50B–$60B
16%
60–70 miliardi di dollari
46%
70-80 miliardi di dollari
18%
80–90 miliardi di dollari
11%
90–100 miliardi di dollari
8%
Oltre 100 miliardi di dollari
4%
Nessuna IPO prima di luglio 2026
<1%
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on May 14 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before July 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Mercato aperto: May 11, 2026, 6:05 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on May 14 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before July 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Cerebras Systems' IPO closing market cap in the $60B–$70B range at 45% implied probability, reflecting expectations of a significant first-day trading pop beyond the upped $150–$160 per share pricing range that implies up to $48.8 billion fully diluted valuation on 30 million shares offered. Surging demand exceeding 20x supply, fueled by 76% revenue growth to $290 million in 2025, GAAP profitability, and a multi-year OpenAI deal exceeding $10 billion for 750 MW compute capacity, has driven this positioning. February's $1 billion Series H at $23 billion post-money valuation highlights rapid appreciation amid AI infrastructure frenzy. Nasdaq debut on May 13–14 remains the key resolution catalyst, with AWS hyperscaler partnership signals adding upside potential.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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