Recent polling for Chihuahua's June 2027 state elections shows a narrow contest between PAN and Morena for congressional seats, with both parties holding competitive shares of voter preference amid the state's 33-member legislature. PAN benefits from its current control of the governorship and strong municipal results in key areas, while Morena draws from national trends and leads some statewide surveys by single digits. The mixed-member system, potential PAN-PRI alliances, and limited visibility for smaller parties like MC and PRI keep the outcome fluid. Pre-campaigns begin in December 2026, with candidate registration in early 2027 likely to clarify coalitions and sharpen the race ahead of the June ballot. Trader pricing reflects this balance of local incumbency advantages and shifting national alignments.