Incumbent Sen. Chris Coons dominates trader consensus at 95% implied probability for Delaware's Democratic Senate primary on September 15, fueled by his entrenched position since 2010, decisive 2020 re-election with 59% of the vote, and negligible challenge from Christopher Beardsley, a Democratic socialist who announced in December 2025 lacking polling, fundraising traction, or endorsements. No major developments have emerged in the past 30 days to shift sentiment, with the July 14 filing deadline still allowing potential new entrants. While historical base rates heavily favor incumbents in low-stakes primaries, odds could pivot on a high-profile late challenger, Coons scandal, health event, or withdrawal announcement.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$11,099 Vol.
$11,099 Vol.
Chris Coons
95%
Christopher Beardsley
5%
$11,099 Vol.
$11,099 Vol.
Chris Coons
95%
Christopher Beardsley
5%
If no 2026 Delaware Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Delaware Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Mercato aperto: Dec 12, 2025, 11:02 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Delaware Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Delaware Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Sen. Chris Coons dominates trader consensus at 95% implied probability for Delaware's Democratic Senate primary on September 15, fueled by his entrenched position since 2010, decisive 2020 re-election with 59% of the vote, and negligible challenge from Christopher Beardsley, a Democratic socialist who announced in December 2025 lacking polling, fundraising traction, or endorsements. No major developments have emerged in the past 30 days to shift sentiment, with the July 14 filing deadline still allowing potential new entrants. While historical base rates heavily favor incumbents in low-stakes primaries, odds could pivot on a high-profile late challenger, Coons scandal, health event, or withdrawal announcement.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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